Woolworths posts $1.14bn profit surge, credits customer volume over price hikes

We've moved beyond a temporary phase into a new reality of entrenched value seeking
CEO Amanda Bardwell describes how cost-of-living pressures have permanently reshaped consumer behavior and Woolworths' strategy.
Mark

When Bardwell says the profit came from volume rather than price hikes, is she being truthful, or is that just the story she wants to tell?

Mimi

The margin did expand—from 5.3% to 5.5%—so something changed in how much profit each dollar of sales generated. She's saying that came from more customers and bigger baskets, not from raising shelf prices. That's plausible if you're moving more volume and spreading fixed costs across more sales. But it's also the kind of claim that's hard to verify without seeing the actual pricing data.

Mark

So Ooshies was worth $120 million in incremental sales. That's real money. But she said they won't run it year-round. Why would you kill something that works?

Mimi

Because it works *because* it's limited. The moment it becomes permanent, it stops being a promotion and becomes the baseline. Shoppers stop coming in for the thrill of the hunt. You lose the urgency. She's thinking about the long game—use it to build habit, then step back and see if the habit sticks.

Mark

But Big W sales are still falling even with Ooshies. That's the part that troubles me.

Mimi

Right. It shows the promotion has limits. It can move supermarket traffic, but it can't overcome the fact that households are genuinely squeezed. Department store shopping is discretionary. Groceries aren't. You can't collectible your way out of that.

Mark

The 7,000 incidents of violence in one year—that's almost 20 a day. How does that fit into a profit story?

Mimi

It doesn't, which is why it's buried in the results. But it's the cost of operating in an environment where people are stressed and angry. The facial recognition test in New Zealand is Woolworths trying to solve a problem that profit margins don't capture. It's the human friction underneath the numbers.

  • Woolworths posted a $1.14bn net profit — up $175m year-on-year — sending its market value surging $2bn to briefly touch $50bn, its highest since 2021.
  • The result arrives under sustained public scrutiny: both Woolworths and Coles have faced accusations of widening margins during a cost-of-living crisis, even as inflation ran at 3.8% and households tightened their spending.
  • A limited-run campaign of blind-bag Disney collectibles — Ooshies — quietly drove up to 2% of supermarket growth, worth roughly $120m, and visibly dented rival Coles' results in the same period.
  • CEO Amanda Bardwell argues the margin expansion reflects more customers buying more, not higher prices — but Big W's sales decline and 7,000 recorded incidents of in-store violence signal that the pressure on everyday Australians has not eased.
  • Woolworths is testing facial recognition technology in New Zealand and watching shrinkage figures closely, a reminder that behind the record profit lies a retail environment still marked by insecurity and strain.

In a season when household budgets have grown tight and public trust in large retailers has worn thin, Woolworths has reported a $1.14 billion profit — a result that invites the perennial question of who benefits when commerce thrives amid hardship. The company's leadership insists the gains came from volume rather than price, from meeting shoppers where they are rather than extracting more from what they carry. Yet the numbers land in a landscape where the line between capturing value-seeking behaviour and profiting from necessity is rarely clean.

Woolworths arrived at its Wednesday earnings call with a result its investors had been hoping for: a $1.14 billion net profit, up $175 million on the prior year, achieved — the company insisted — without the price increases that have made Australian supermarkets a target of public frustration. Markets responded immediately, lifting the company's value by $2 billion to briefly touch $50 billion.

The headline figures were tidy. Australian supermarket sales rose 4.6%, revenue climbed from $51.49bn to $53.85bn, and profit margins edged up from 5.3% to 5.5%. Online sales grew 15.9% as the retailer expanded pickup and on-demand options. CEO Amanda Bardwell described the margin gains as a product of volume — more shoppers, buying more — rather than higher shelf prices. Australians, she said, had entered a "new reality of entrenched value seeking," and Woolworths had positioned itself to meet them there.

The more surprising engine of growth was a promotion built around plastic Disney figurines. The Ooshies campaign, which rewarded shoppers with a blind-bag collectible for every $30 spent, ran for roughly a month from mid-July and contributed up to 2% of supermarket growth — an estimated $120 million boost. In the eight weeks since the campaign launched, supermarket sales had accelerated to 7.6% above the prior year. The promotion drew customers who wouldn't normally shop at Woolworths, and its effects were visible in competitor Coles' comparatively muted results: a 1% rise in net profit to $1.09 billion. Bardwell was clear that Ooshies would not become a permanent fixture.

Elsewhere, the picture was more mixed. Big W returned to profit with pre-tax earnings of $64 million after a $33 million loss the year before, but its sales had softened in the final weeks — a sign that collectibles enthusiasm couldn't fully offset the weight of household cost pressures on budget-conscious shoppers. Woolworths also disclosed that in-store theft had declined but remained a serious concern, with 7,000 incidents of violence recorded in a single year. The company is trialling facial recognition technology in its New Zealand office, a detail that sits quietly behind the profit figures as a reminder of the harder conditions facing retail workers.

The results sketched a company that had read its moment well — offering value, convenience, and a touch of playfulness to shoppers under pressure. Whether that reading holds as cost-of-living strains persist is the question the next earnings call will have to answer.

Woolworths walked into Wednesday's earnings call with a story its investors wanted to hear: the supermarket giant had grown its way to a $1.14 billion profit, up $175 million from the year before, without resorting to the price hikes that have made Australian grocers unpopular. The company's market value jumped $2 billion in response, briefly touching $50 billion—its highest point since 2021.

The numbers told a particular tale. Sales in the Australian supermarkets division climbed 4.6%, pushing revenue from $51.49 billion to $53.85 billion. Profit margins expanded from 5.3% to 5.5%. Pre-tax earnings rose $232 million to exceed $2.95 billion. Online sales accelerated 15.9% across the company as the retailer rolled out more in-store pickup and on-demand options. It was, on paper, a clean story of expansion.

CEO Amanda Bardwell framed it that way in her remarks to reporters. The margin gains, she said, came not from pushing prices higher but from pulling more customers through the doors and getting them to buy more. Shoppers had shifted into what she called "a new reality of entrenched value seeking"—cost-of-living pressures had stopped being temporary and become structural. Woolworths had simply positioned itself to capture that behavior. This mattered because Woolworths and Coles had both faced sustained criticism for widening margins during a period of high inflation, effectively passing costs to shoppers while suppliers absorbed the squeeze. Inflation itself had run 3.8% in the year to June.

The real engine of growth, though, was something simpler and more playful: plastic Disney characters. The Ooshies campaign gave shoppers a blind bag containing a collectible figurine for every $30 spent. It was a promotion designed to feel like a game, and it worked. In the eight weeks since early July, supermarket sales had accelerated to 7.6% above the prior year. Ooshies alone accounted for up to 2% of that growth—a boost worth roughly $120 million, assuming monthly supermarket sales averaged around $4 billion. The campaign ran from mid-July to mid-August and proved potent enough to hurt competitor Coles, which reported a 1% rise in net profit to $1.09 billion for the same period.

Bardwell acknowledged that Ooshies had drawn shoppers who wouldn't normally visit Woolworths, but she signaled the company had no plans to make it permanent. "We don't think we need to be running them all the time," she said. The implication was clear: the promotion had done its job, and Woolworths would move on.

The broader picture was more complicated. Big W, Woolworths' department store chain, had returned to profit with pre-tax earnings of $64 million, reversing a $33 million loss from the previous year. But even with Ooshies in the mix, Big W had seen sales decline in the last eight weeks, a sign that the collectibles campaign couldn't overcome the weight of household cost pressures, particularly among budget-conscious customers. Woolworths attributed the weakness to "ongoing cost-of-living pressures on households, particularly budget customers and weaker trade in the Everyday business."

There was one more thread in the results: theft and stockloss. Woolworths reported that shrinkage—the retail term for inventory lost to theft and other causes—had declined in 2026, though the company was still exploring technology solutions. Bardwell mentioned that Woolworths had recorded 7,000 incidents of violence in a single year and was running a technical test of facial recognition technology in its New Zealand support office, conducted with staff consent. It was a reminder that behind the profit margins and collectible toys lay a harder reality of security concerns and worker safety.

The earnings painted a portrait of a company that had navigated a difficult consumer environment by understanding what shoppers actually wanted: value, convenience, and a bit of fun. Whether that formula would hold as cost-of-living pressures persisted remained an open question.

The profit increase came from more customers buying more at Woolworths, not from lifting shelf prices during a period of high inflation.
— CEO Amanda Bardwell
Woolworths has no plans to run Ooshies year-round, believing the promotion's power lies in its limited availability.
— CEO Amanda Bardwell
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