In the long arc of great-power rivalry, the United States has turned once again to economic coercion as an instrument of geopolitical will, this time reaching beyond Iran itself to pressure the nations that sustain it. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveiled 'Operation Economic Outcast' on Monday, a campaign designed not merely to sanction Tehran but to confront every trading partner — China, Turkey, the UAE, Iraq — with a stark choice between Washington and Tehran. Iran, its supreme leader already dead and its economy under siege, answered with warnings of seismic retaliation and the threat
US Unveils 'Operation Economic Outcast' to Isolate Iran Through Third-Country Sanctions
Those who stand with us will reap rewards. Those tethered to Iran should expect to share in its isolation.
Why does the US need to go after third countries instead of just pressuring Iran directly?
Because there's almost nothing left to pressure. The US barely trades with Iran at all. After decades of sanctions, direct leverage is exhausted. So the strategy shifts to the countries that still do business with Tehran—China, the UAE, Turkey, Iraq. Make it costly for them to trade with Iran, and you cut off Tehran's oxygen.
But China and the UAE are major powers. Can the US actually force them to comply?
That's the real question. China especially has shown it can resist American economic pressure. The UAE just announced it's suspending trade, but whether that holds, and whether China follows, is unclear. Bessent said the president is making phone calls to world leaders, but he wouldn't say who or what he's asking for.
What's Iran actually threatening to do?
Close the Strait of Hormuz completely. That's the waterway through which a huge portion of the world's oil and gas passes. Iran's security chief said if the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will leave the Persian Gulf through any route. That's not a small threat—it would ripple through global energy markets.
Is Iran's two-year counter-plan credible?
Their economy minister claims they've been preparing for this. Whether they can actually withstand another round of sanctions while also managing a stalled war is another question. They're already under decades of sanctions. But they've survived before.
What about the diplomacy happening right now?
It's thin. Pakistan and Oman are trying to restart talks, but the core issue—who controls the Strait of Hormuz—hasn't budged. The 60-day negotiating window expired with nothing. So while Bessent is announcing economic warfare, there are still people trying to talk. It's not clear which track will win.
O Pulso
- Washington has named its campaign 'Operation Economic Outcast,' vowing to achieve the 'economic asphyxiation' of Tehran by forcing third-country trading partners — including China, the UAE, Turkey, and Iraq — to choose sides or face isolation themselves.
- Iran's security chief Mohsen Rezaei raised the stakes dramatically, threatening to shut down Persian Gulf oil exports entirely and warning that any nation supporting US measures would be treated as having committed an act of war.
- The UAE has already suspended all trade and financial transactions with Iran, while China responded cautiously, and Turkey and Iraq brace for pressure — fracturing the network of relationships that has kept Iran's economy breathing.
- Diplomatic channels are not yet fully closed: Pakistan's army chief and Oman's foreign minister are both in motion, attempting to revive stalled negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz even as the economic war intensifies around them.
- A 60-day negotiating window expired last week without agreement, leaving control of the Strait — the artery through which a significant share of global oil flows — as the unresolved knot at the center of the crisis.
In the long arc of great-power rivalry, the United States has turned once again to economic coercion as an instrument of geopolitical will, this time reaching beyond Iran itself to pressure the nations that sustain it. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveiled 'Operation Economic Outcast' on Monday, a campaign designed not merely to sanction Tehran but to confront every trading partner — China, Turkey, the UAE, Iraq — with a stark choice between Washington and Tehran. Iran, its supreme leader already dead and its economy under siege, answered with warnings of seismic retaliation and the threatened closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint on which the world's energy flows depend. The episode reminds us that economic warfare, like all warfare, rarely stays within the boundaries its architects draw.
On Monday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced what the administration framed as a historic escalation: Operation Economic Outcast, a campaign to isolate Iran not through direct bilateral pressure — largely exhausted already — but by targeting every nation that continues to do business with Tehran. Countries would be given a timeline to comply or face consequences of their own. Bessent's language was unsparing, invoking 'economic asphyxiation' and a promise to sever every financial lifeline sustaining what he called the regime's evil apparatus. President Trump had previewed the move by calling it an 'economic D-Day' for Tehran, a phrase that drew skepticism, and Bessent's attempt to anchor it in Second World War analogies landed awkwardly.
The strategic logic was grounded in economic reality. Iran's most significant trading relationships run through China, the UAE, Turkey, and Iraq — not the United States. The UAE moved preemptively last week, suspending all trade and financial ties with Iran. China's Foreign Ministry offered a measured non-commitment, saying it would protect its rights while cautioning that sanctions rarely solve problems. Germany's trade with Iran, already minimal, was expected to shrink further. The noose, as Bessent put it, was being drawn around Iran's remaining connections to the global economy.
Tehran answered with defiance and threat in equal measure. Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh declared that Iran had prepared a two-year counter-plan and that Washington had failed every previous test of Iranian resolve. The sharper warning came from Mohsen Rezaei of the Supreme National Security Council, who threatened 'seismic retaliation' and vowed that if economic warfare continued, no oil would leave the Persian Gulf — not through the Strait of Hormuz, not from anywhere in the region.
The confrontation is unfolding against the backdrop of a war that began in late February when Israel and the United States struck Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The subsequent exchange of strikes on energy infrastructure and American Gulf bases has since settled into a grinding stalemate. The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed, with Iran blocking transit and the US maintaining a blockade of Iranian ports. A 60-day negotiating window expired last week without resolution. Even so, Pakistan's army chief was traveling to Tehran and Oman's foreign minister was preparing to meet his Iranian counterpart — quiet diplomatic threads still being pulled even as the economic war entered a new and more dangerous phase.
On Monday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stood before cameras to announce what his administration called an unprecedented campaign to strangle Iran's economy. He named it Operation Economic Outcast. The strategy was straightforward in concept but ambitious in scope: since the United States already conducts almost no direct trade with Iran and has exhausted most bilateral leverage, Washington would instead target the countries that do business with Tehran. Those nations would face a choice, Bessent said—cooperate with American demands or face isolation themselves.
Bessent's language was stark. He spoke of "economic asphyxiation" and of severing "every economic lifeline that sustains this tyrannical regime until Tehran stands alone." He promised that the Treasury had mapped every smuggling route, every financial network, every facilitator Iran used to move oil and dodge existing sanctions. The administration would now "tighten the noose," he said, targeting every potential revenue stream feeding the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and what he called the regime's evil apparatus. For countries caught in the middle, there would be carrots and sticks. Those who aligned with the United States would "reap the rewards of our partnership." Those who remained tethered to Iran should "expect to share in the isolation of a withering regime." Each nation would receive a defined timeline to comply or face consequences.
The announcement itself contained no concrete new measures—Bessent said those would follow "fairly rapidly" in the coming days—but the framing invoked historical weight. President Trump had called the coming sanctions an "economic D-Day" for Tehran, a phrase that drew ridicule for its loose fit with reality. Bessent attempted to salvage the analogy by comparing the operation to the Second World War campaign that targeted enemy positions "including those in third countries." It was an awkward stretch. In a post on social media before the press conference, Bessent claimed Trump had "dismantled Iran's military capabilities," destroyed nearly all of its military factories, and "buried its nuclear program." The endgame, he suggested, had begun.
The targeting of third countries made strategic sense given the economic realities. Iran's two largest trading partners before the current Middle East war were China and the United Arab Emirates. The UAE announced last week it was suspending all trade and financial transactions with Iran indefinitely. Turkey and Iraq, both neighbors with substantial commercial ties to Tehran, would likely face pressure. Russia remained a valued partner, though it had no need for Iranian fuel. Germany, Iran's largest European trading partner, conducted less than a billion euros in trade with Iran in 2025, and that figure was expected to halve further amid the conflict. China's Foreign Ministry responded cautiously, saying it was monitoring developments and would protect its rights, while adding that sanctions and pressure do not resolve problems.
Iran's response came swiftly. Economy Minister Ali Madanizadeh told state television that Washington faced "another defeat," claiming Tehran had prepared a two-year plan to counter the sanctions. "They have done everything they could to test the determination of the Iranian people," he said, "but they have failed every time." The rhetoric from Iran's security establishment was sharper. Mohsen Rezaei, head of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, warned that any country supporting the US measures would be seen as committing "an act of war." He threatened "seismic retaliation," suggesting Iran would target oil-shipping routes from the Persian Gulf. "If the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will be exported, neither through the Strait of Hormuz nor from anywhere in the Persian Gulf," Rezaei said.
The broader context for this escalation lay in a Middle East conflict that had reached a grinding stalemate. The war began on February 28 when Israel and the United States struck Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Tehran responded with strikes on energy infrastructure and American bases in the Gulf region. The two sides had since halted the bombing, but diplomatic efforts had collapsed. Control of the Strait of Hormuz—a waterway critical to global oil and gas shipments—remained the central sticking point. Iran had effectively closed it while the United States maintained a blockade of Iranian ports. A 60-day negotiating window, established under a memorandum of understanding signed in June, had expired the previous week with no agreement in sight. Even as Bessent announced the new sanctions campaign, Pakistan's army chief was traveling to Iran to attempt reviving talks, and Oman's foreign minister was scheduled to meet his Iranian counterpart to continue discussions over the strait. Economic warfare was escalating even as diplomacy, however faintly, persisted.
Citações Notáveis
Our objective is to sever every economic lifeline that sustains the tyrannical regime until Tehran stands alone.— Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
If the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will be exported, neither through the Strait of Hormuz nor from anywhere in the Persian Gulf.— Mohsen Rezaei, head of Iran's Supreme National Security Council