Two Healthcare Stocks Offer Value Opportunities Despite TSX Rally

The market hasn't fully priced in what these companies are building.
Two healthcare stocks trade below their potential as investors wait for clinical trials and new products to prove their worth.
Mark

Why would a value investor look at these two companies right now, when the healthcare sector has already rallied 27 percent this year?

Mimi

Because the sector rally has been broad, but it hasn't lifted all boats equally. Trillium and Bausch are still trading well below where they could be if their clinical and operational stories play out.

Mark

Trillium lost $10.8 million in the first quarter. How is that a bargain?

Mimi

The losses are actually shrinking, and they're being driven by deliberate spending—more patients in trials, higher manufacturing costs. That's not a company in trouble; it's a company scaling up. The real question is whether the science works.

Mark

And if it doesn't?

Mimi

Then the stock goes to zero. That's the biotech bet. But the market is pricing in a lot of skepticism right now, which is why the upside is there for investors who believe in the science.

Mark

What about Bausch? It lost $610 million in the quarter.

Mimi

But it generated $443 million in cash from operations. Those two numbers tell different stories. The losses are mostly accounting—depreciation, amortization, restructuring charges. The cash is real.

Mark

So it's a turnaround play.

Mimi

Exactly. The company is shedding unprofitable pieces and focusing on eye health and the new surgical software. If eyeTELLIGENCE launches on schedule in 2022 and gains adoption, that's a new revenue stream the market isn't fully pricing in yet.

  • Trillium Therapeutics sits 37% below its 2020 closing price despite having delivered a 1,308% return that same year — a disconnect that signals either deep skepticism or overlooked opportunity.
  • The company's Phase 1b/2 trials now span nine patient populations across blood cancers and solid tumors, meaning the next wave of clinical data could move the stock sharply in either direction.
  • Bausch Health reported a staggering $610 million net loss in Q1 2021, yet generated $443 million in operating cash — a gap that suggests the accounting picture and the business reality are telling very different stories.
  • The eyeTELLIGENCE platform, a cloud-connected surgical software developed with Lochan LLC, is set to launch by 2022 and could redefine Bausch's identity from legacy pharma to digital health innovator.
  • Both companies are navigating the narrow corridor between promise and proof — where analyst targets imply 78% upside for Trillium, but only successful trials and product launches will determine whether that potential is ever realized.

As the Toronto Stock Exchange's healthcare sector stages a quiet recovery from pandemic-era losses, two companies — Trillium Therapeutics and Bausch Health — remain priced as though the market has not yet read their next chapters. One is wagering on the body's own immune system to defeat cancer; the other is threading surgical suites into the cloud. Both invite the patient investor to ask not what these companies are, but what they are becoming.

The TSX healthcare sector has climbed back to become the second-best performer year-to-date, yet two companies within it still trade as though their recoveries haven't been noticed. Trillium Therapeutics and Bausch Health, each in its own way, appear to offer value investors what the market has not yet fully priced in.

Trillium, a Mississauga-based biotech worth $1.22 billion, is pursuing cancer immunotherapy by targeting CD47 — a protein cancer cells use to evade immune detection. Its two lead candidates are advancing through an expanded Phase 1b/2 program covering nine patient populations. At $11.81 per share, the stock sits 37% below its 2020 year-end close, even as analysts project a path to $21 — a 78% gain. Losses are narrowing: the company posted a $10.8 million net loss in Q1 2021, down from $16.6 million a year prior. Rising R&D costs reflect genuine scale-up, not drift. CEO Jan Skvarka has framed the coming years as a period of execution, with a steady pipeline of trial data expected to follow.

Bausch Health, headquartered in Laval and valued at $11.47 billion, operates across pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer health, with deep roots in eye care, gastroenterology, and dermatology. After a brutal 32% decline in 2020, the stock has recovered 47% this year. More telling than the share price, however, is the cash flow: despite a $610 million accounting loss in Q1 2021, Bausch generated $443 million from operations — nearly 70% more than the same quarter a year earlier. The divergence between paper losses and cash generation points to a company mid-transition, shedding weight while its core strengthens.

The story investors should watch most closely is eyeTELLIGENCE, a surgical software platform being built with Lochan LLC that will connect operating rooms to real-time cloud analytics. Bausch aims to launch the first version by 2022, positioning itself as the first major eye health company to bring this kind of digital integration into the surgical suite.

Neither company is without risk. Trillium's future hinges on clinical outcomes that cannot be predicted. Bausch's turnaround remains unfinished. But for those willing to hold through the uncertainty, both stocks offer entry points ahead of the moments that will define them — and the next two years will determine whether that patience is rewarded.

The Toronto stock market has climbed steadily out of the pandemic's wreckage, but not every sector has risen equally. Healthcare, which stumbled badly in 2020, has clawed back to become the second-best performer on the TSX year-to-date. Yet within that recovery, two companies still trade at prices that suggest the market hasn't fully priced in their potential: Trillium Therapeutics and Bausch Health, both offering what value investors call a margin of safety.

Trillium Therapeutics, a Mississauga-based biotech firm with a market value of $1.22 billion, is developing immunotherapy treatments for cancer. The company's approach targets CD47, a protein that cancer cells exploit to hide from the immune system. Two lead candidates—TTI-621 and TTI-622—are moving through clinical trials, and the company recently launched an ambitious Phase 1b/2 program across nine different patient populations, spanning blood cancers and solid tumors. At $11.81 per share, the stock trades 37 percent below where it closed in 2020, despite having delivered a 1,308 percent return last year. Analysts covering the company see room for the stock to climb to $21, implying a 78 percent gain from current levels. The company's losses are narrowing—it posted a $10.8 million net loss in the first quarter of 2021, down from $16.6 million in the same quarter a year earlier. The rising research and development costs reflect the reality of scaling up: more patients enrolling in trials, higher manufacturing expenses, and the machinery of clinical operations grinding forward. Jan Skvarka, the company's president and chief executive, framed the moment as one of execution, saying the firm is well positioned to generate a steady stream of new trial data over the coming years.

Bausch Health tells a different story, though it points toward a similar conclusion. The Laval-based company, valued at $11.47 billion, manufactures pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and over-the-counter products, with particular strength in eye care, gastroenterology, and dermatology. Last year was brutal—the stock fell 32 percent. But this year it has recovered 47 percent, and the company's operational fundamentals are strengthening. In the first quarter of 2021, despite reporting a $610 million net loss on paper, Bausch generated $443 million in cash from operations, nearly 70 percent more than it produced in the same quarter the year before. That gap between accounting losses and cash generation matters: it suggests the company is moving through a transition, shedding unprofitable operations while its core business generates real cash.

The catalyst investors should watch is eyeTELLIGENCE, a next-generation surgical software platform being developed in collaboration with Lochan LLC. The technology will connect operating rooms to the cloud, allowing surgeons to access real-time data and analytics during procedures. Bausch plans to launch the first version by 2022, positioning itself as the first major eye health company to offer this kind of digital integration in the operating room. According to Mark Lobanoff, Lochan's founder, the software will help surgeons make faster, more informed decisions about treatment and procedural choices.

Both stocks carry real risk. Biotech companies live or die by clinical trial results, and Trillium's future depends on whether TTI-621 and TTI-622 prove safe and effective in human patients. Bausch's turnaround is still incomplete, and the company must execute on its product roadmap while managing a complex portfolio. But for investors willing to hold through uncertainty, the current prices offer entry points before the market fully recognizes what these companies are building. The next two years will tell whether that bet pays off.

Building on a robust foundation anchored in demonstrated proof of concept, we have initiated an ambitious Phase 1b/2 program in nine patient settings across hematologic and solid tumor cancers.
— Jan Skvarka, Trillium Therapeutics president and CEO
The next generation of eyeTELLIGENCE software will help surgeons use data to make faster treatment and procedural decisions.
— Dr. Mark Lobanoff, founder of Lochan LLC
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