En las semanas que siguieron al inicio de un conflicto armado entre Estados Unidos e Irán, Donald Trump ofrece una paradoja pública: la guerra está casi terminada, dice, aunque las operaciones militares continúan. Desde Washington, el presidente defiende la intervención como un imperativo histórico para evitar que Irán alcance capacidad nuclear, mientras delega en la diplomacia —y en la presión sobre Pekín— la tarea de convertir la ventaja militar en un acuerdo político duradero. La humanidad observa, una vez más, cómo el lenguaje del fin de la guerra precede, y a veces sustituye, a la paz mis
La Sexta Noticias
· Apr 15, 2026
· security
· 5 min read
Medium
Sourcing: Characterized
Trump says Iran war 'nearly over' but offensive continues amid fresh talks
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War & Conflict
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Geopolitical Impact
🌎
Trump claims Iran conflict nearing resolution while maintaining military pressure, seeking nuclear deal through renewed Pakistan talks with Chinese cooperation.
Escalation Risk
moderate
Confidence
MED
Iran
United States
Israel
Pakistan
China
Middle East
U.S. asserting military dominance while pivoting to negotiation; China positioned as potential restraint on Iranian arms; Israel's role diminished in diplomatic phase; Iran weakened militarily but seeking face-saving agreement; Pakistan elevated as diplomatic intermediary.
Similar to Nixon's opening to China (1971)—military pressure followed by diplomatic engagement—or Iran nuclear negotiations (JCPOA era), balancing coercion with dialogue.
Economic Lens
📈
Trump claims Iran conflict nearing resolution while military operations continue, citing nuclear proliferation concerns and signaling optimism about upcoming negotiations.
Market Signal
mixed
Confidence
MED
Energy (oil/gas markets)
Defense and aerospace
Financial services
Shipping and logistics
Insurance
Uncertainty about oil price stability affects fuel and energy costs for households. Prolonged conflict risks supply disruptions, potentially increasing inflation. De-escalation could lower energy prices and reduce geopolitical risk premiums.
Potential for sanctions relief negotiations, arms control agreements, and regional stability frameworks. U.S. may seek Chinese cooperation on Iran policy. Outcomes could reshape Middle East geopolitics and energy markets. Congressional oversight of military spending and foreign intervention likely.