In a move that fuses domestic political calculation with the unresolved tragedy of war, Donald Trump has struck a deal to lift sanctions on Russian diesel exports, hoping to ease American fuel prices before midterm elections. The arrangement draws immediate condemnation from Ukrainian President Zelensky, who warns it replenishes the very revenues sustaining Russia's military campaign, and from European leaders who see it as a concession that undermines years of coordinated pressure on Moscow. Trump's accompanying call for Ukraine to replace its wartime president — an electoral impossibility un
Trump calls for Ukraine leadership change as diesel deal with Russia sparks backlash
Fresh revenue from diesel sales would help them rebuild capacity and sustain military operations.
Why would Trump make a deal that Zelensky says directly funds Russia's war effort? That seems to work against American interests in Ukraine.
Trump's framing is about domestic fuel prices. Diesel hit $6.28 a gallon—up from $3.68 a year ago—and that's a political liability heading into midterms. He sees the deal as solving an economic problem at home.
But we should be clear: the claim that this deal will significantly lower US diesel prices is Trump's assertion. The actual market impact of 300,000 tonnes initially, even with millions more to follow, depends on global supply dynamics we can't fully predict.
And Zelensky's concern—that it funds Russia's war—is that based on hard numbers or analysis?
It's a reasonable inference. Russia's refineries have been damaged by Ukrainian strikes, reducing output by an estimated 30 percent. Fresh revenue from diesel sales would help them rebuild capacity and sustain military operations. But Zelensky is making a political argument as much as an economic one.
Right. We know Russian refineries have been hit hard. We know sanctions relief would provide revenue. What we don't know is how much of that revenue actually flows to military spending versus other state priorities, or how much the global diesel market actually absorbs these volumes.
Trump also called for Ukraine to get a new president. Can that even happen?
No. Ukraine has been under martial law since 2022, which suspends elections. Trump made the same call last December. It's procedurally impossible.
Which is worth noting because it suggests Trump may not be deeply engaged with the constraints Ukraine actually operates under. Or he's making a rhetorical point about Zelensky's leadership without regard for how it lands.
How isolated is Zelensky on this?
Not at all. The EU's foreign affairs chief said the deal provides Moscow with war-funding revenues. The UK prime minister offered "complete solidarity." Europe is planning its biggest sanctions package since the invasion started—scheduled for Monday.
Though we should note that European statements of opposition don't necessarily translate to action that changes Trump's calculus. The US and EU have different leverage and different domestic pressures.
El Pulso
- US diesel prices have surged to $6.28 a gallon, and Trump is betting that flooding the market with Russian fuel can reverse his political fortunes before voters go to the polls.
- Zelensky condemned the deal as a direct subsidy to the Russian war machine, warning allies that sanctions relief translates into missiles and strikes — including fresh attacks on Zaporizhzhia days before the announcement.
- Trump escalated the confrontation by publicly calling for Ukraine to replace its president, a demand that is legally impossible under martial law and that Putin's envoy immediately celebrated as 'iconic and historic.'
- European foreign ministers are preparing their largest sanctions package against Russia since the 2022 invasion, scheduled for Monday, in direct defiance of Washington's pivot.
- Ukraine's most effective leverage — drone strikes that had cut Russian diesel production by an estimated 30 percent — is now being neutralized by the very ally whose support Kyiv can no longer take for granted.
In a move that fuses domestic political calculation with the unresolved tragedy of war, Donald Trump has struck a deal to lift sanctions on Russian diesel exports, hoping to ease American fuel prices before midterm elections. The arrangement draws immediate condemnation from Ukrainian President Zelensky, who warns it replenishes the very revenues sustaining Russia's military campaign, and from European leaders who see it as a concession that undermines years of coordinated pressure on Moscow. Trump's accompanying call for Ukraine to replace its wartime president — an electoral impossibility under martial law — reveals how profoundly the calculus of American domestic politics has come to shape the contours of a distant but consequential war.
Donald Trump announced a deal to suspend sanctions on Russian diesel exports, opening the American market to Russian fuel in an effort to bring down pump prices ahead of midterm elections. The agreement would release 300,000 tonnes immediately, with 500,000 more in November and millions to follow. Diesel has climbed to $6.28 a gallon — up from $3.68 a year ago — a surge Trump is desperate to reverse before voters pass judgment on his economic stewardship.
Zelensky moved swiftly to condemn the arrangement, warning that it would hand Moscow fresh revenue to sustain military operations that have already killed civilians and destroyed infrastructure across Ukraine. Russian forces had struck Zaporizhzhia with deadly new attacks just days before the deal was announced. Zelensky spent the day calling allies, including British Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who pledged complete solidarity and agreed that Russia should accept an immediate energy ceasefire and halt attacks on Black Sea shipping — steps that could release fuel into global markets without enriching Moscow.
Trump's response to the criticism was blunt: he told reporters it was 'time for Ukraine to get a new president,' accusing Zelensky of authorizing strikes on Russian refineries and making 'problems for the world.' The call for new Ukrainian elections is procedurally impossible — the country has been under martial law since Russia's 2022 invasion, which suspends all electoral processes. Putin's envoy Kirill Dmitriev wasted no time celebrating the comment, framing Zelensky as an obstacle to peace rather than a leader defending his nation.
The backlash extended across Europe. EU foreign affairs chief Kaja Kallas warned that easing sanctions would give Moscow 'more revenues to wage war,' and European foreign ministers are set to approve their largest sanctions package against Russia since the full-scale invasion began. The divergence between Washington and its allies is stark.
The deal carries a deeper strategic cost for Ukraine. Over the past ten months, Ukrainian drone strikes had cut Russian diesel production by an estimated 30 percent — one of Kyiv's few remaining points of leverage. Trump's arrangement effectively neutralizes that pressure, restocking Russian refineries with hard currency and, by extension, sustaining the military they supply. For Ukraine, it marks a moment when American support can no longer be assumed, and the war's endurance must be negotiated without its most powerful patron.
Donald Trump announced on Saturday that he had brokered a deal with Russia to suspend sanctions on diesel exports, opening the American market to Russian fuel in an effort to bring down pump prices ahead of the midterm elections. The agreement would release 300,000 tonnes of Russian diesel immediately, followed by 500,000 more in November, with millions of additional tonnes to follow—contingent on the condition of Russia's refineries. Diesel prices in the US have climbed to $6.28 a gallon, up from $5.94 last month and $3.68 a year ago, a surge that has weighed on Trump's political standing as Americans feel the effects of inflation rippling through the economy.
Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine's president, moved quickly to condemn the arrangement. He warned that releasing Russian diesel into global markets would hand Moscow fresh revenue to finance its ongoing war against Ukraine, effectively subsidizing military operations that have killed civilians and destroyed infrastructure across his country. Days before the deal was announced, Russian forces had struck the city of Zaporizhzhia with deadly new attacks. Zelensky spent Saturday calling allies—including British Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who pledged his "complete solidarity"—to discuss how to protect Ukrainian lives and European security in the face of what he saw as a capitulation to Russian interests.
Trump's response to Zelensky's criticism was blunt. Speaking to reporters outside the White House, he said it was "time for Ukraine to get a new president" and suggested Zelensky "wants to make problems for the world" by authorizing attacks on Russian refineries. Trump framed the strikes as a global problem, telling Zelensky to "stop" and arguing that Ukraine should "get a new leader who can make a deal." He suggested his counterpart had squandered opportunities for negotiation. The comment echoed a position Trump had staked out in December, when he called for new elections in Ukraine—a procedurally impossible demand, since the country has been under martial law since Russia's 2022 invasion, which suspends all electoral processes.
Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's envoy, seized on Trump's intervention, calling it "iconic and historic" and arguing that Ukraine "needs leadership actually focused on peace." The framing cast Zelensky as an obstacle to resolution rather than a leader defending his nation against invasion.
The backlash extended beyond Kyiv. Kaja Kallas, the European Union's foreign affairs chief, echoed Zelensky's warning that suspending sanctions would provide Moscow with "more revenues to wage war." She stated flatly: "This is not the time to ease pressure on Russia, and Europe won't." European foreign ministers plan to approve the largest package of sanctions against Russia since the full-scale invasion began, a move scheduled for Monday. Burnham's office said the UK and Ukraine had agreed that Russia should accept an immediate energy ceasefire and halt attacks on shipping in the Black Sea—steps that would release more fuel and food supplies into global markets without enriching Moscow.
The diesel deal sits at the intersection of Trump's domestic political needs and the grinding reality of the war in Ukraine. The Iran conflict, which began in February, has sent fuel costs soaring and soured public opinion on Trump's handling of the economy. By negotiating with Russia to flood the American market with cheap diesel, Trump is attempting to demonstrate control over inflation before voters head to the polls. But the cost of that political calculation falls on Ukraine, where Russian strikes continue and where the prospect of sustained Russian military funding—enabled by American sanctions relief—represents an existential threat.
Ukraine's position has grown more precarious. In the past ten months, Ukrainian drone strikes have dealt severe damage to Russian oil refineries, causing two waves of fuel shortages across Russia and reducing diesel production by an estimated 30 percent, according to the International Energy Agency. That pressure on Russia's energy sector was one of the few leverage points Ukraine possessed. Trump's deal neutralizes it, restocking Russian refineries with the hard currency they need to keep operating and, by extension, to keep supplying the Russian military. Zelensky's calls for solidarity from European allies suggest he is preparing for a long conflict in which American support can no longer be taken for granted.
Citas Notables
This is not the time to ease pressure on Russia, and Europe won't.— Kaja Kallas, EU foreign affairs chief
Ukraine needs leadership actually focused on peace.— Kirill Dmitriev, Putin's envoy