In a Jordanian meeting room this past Sunday, Syrian and Israeli officials sat across from one another under American mediation, attempting to find language for restraint where trust has long since eroded. The encounter follows months of Israeli strikes on Syrian territory and a deepening contest for influence that has drawn Turkey into the equation, leaving Syria's fragile new government caught between forces far larger than itself. What is being negotiated is not merely a ceasefire but the question of whether a sovereign state can assert its own existence amid the competing ambitions of its
Syria, Israel hold US-mediated talks to de-escalate after Israeli strikes
Syria sat in the middle, worried it might become the stage for a larger conflict
Why would Syria agree to talks if they don't trust Israel?
Because the alternative is worse. Syria's government is barely a year old. If Israel and Turkey start fighting across Syrian territory, there's no Syrian state left to negotiate for.
But Israel keeps setting conditions—demilitarization, no Turkish troops, no certain weapons. Doesn't that just mean Syria loses?
It does. But Syria's calculation is that losing slowly through negotiation is better than losing quickly through war. They're trying to buy time to rebuild.
The analyst said Israel will escalate demands now that Syria showed up. So why show up at all?
Because not showing up guarantees escalation. At least in the room, there's a chance—however small—of drawing a line somewhere.
What about the Golan Heights? Syria says it's theirs. Israel says it's not negotiable. How does that resolve?
It probably doesn't. That's the kind of issue that gets parked while both sides focus on preventing immediate conflict. The real question is whether Syria can survive the next few years intact.
And Turkey? Where does Turkey fit into this?
Turkey is the wild card. Israel and Turkey are rivals now, and they're both operating in Syria. Syria's worst nightmare is that they start fighting there instead of at home.
El Pulso
- Israeli strikes have left Syrian airbases in ruins and troops occupy a UN-patrolled buffer zone that stood for decades — the physical facts on the ground make diplomacy feel almost surreal.
- A public feud between Netanyahu and Erdogan has turned Syria into a proxy stage, with Damascus fearing it will be consumed by a conflict it did not choose and cannot control.
- Syria arrived at the table with non-negotiable demands — full Israeli withdrawal, restoration of the 1974 disengagement agreement, and recognition of Syrian sovereignty over the Golan Heights — framing them as facts rather than opening positions.
- Israel countered with its own red lines: no Turkish military footprint in Syria, a demilitarized Syrian Golan, and the condition that any territorial withdrawal must be earned through diplomatic concessions first.
- Analysts warn that Syria's very willingness to negotiate may invite escalation, as Israel's historical pattern has been to raise its demands once the other side signals it wants peace.
- For Damascus, these talks are less a path to resolution than a strategy for survival — keeping the country from fracturing while two regional powers compete for influence on its soil.
In a Jordanian meeting room this past Sunday, Syrian and Israeli officials sat across from one another under American mediation, attempting to find language for restraint where trust has long since eroded. The encounter follows months of Israeli strikes on Syrian territory and a deepening contest for influence that has drawn Turkey into the equation, leaving Syria's fragile new government caught between forces far larger than itself. What is being negotiated is not merely a ceasefire but the question of whether a sovereign state can assert its own existence amid the competing ambitions of its neighbors. History offers little comfort: the architecture of de-escalation has collapsed before, and analysts warn it may collapse again.
Syria's foreign minister Asaad al-Shaibani met Israeli intelligence officials in Jordan this past Sunday, with the United States arranging the encounter in hopes of slowing a conflict that has grown steadily more dangerous since the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024. The two delegations were separated by far more than a table: Israel has launched hundreds of strikes on Syrian territory since Assad's overthrow and has moved troops into the UN-patrolled Golan buffer zone that kept the two militaries apart for fifty years.
The Israeli side, led by Mossad chief Roman Gofman, came with a clear set of conditions — no Turkish military presence in Syria, a demilitarized Syrian Golan, protection for the Druze community, and a firm insistence that any withdrawal from occupied Syrian land would only follow diplomatic achievements. Syria's demands were equally unambiguous: Israeli forces must return to positions held before Assad's fall, the 1974 disengagement agreement must be fully restored, and Syrian sovereignty over the Golan Heights must be acknowledged. Al-Shaibani framed these not as opening bids but as statements of fact.
The meeting's backdrop was turbulent. A recent Israeli strike on the Abu Duhur airbase in Idlib — justified by Tel Aviv as necessary to prevent Turkish use of the facility, denied by both Ankara and Damascus — had sparked a sharp public exchange between Netanyahu and Erdogan. Syria now fears becoming the arena for a larger Israeli-Turkish contest, with its own fragile government unable to consolidate authority or hold the country together.
Al-Shaibani had acknowledged before the talks that Syria did not trust Israel, yet insisted diplomacy remained possible. He noted that the two sides had actually reached broad agreement on paper earlier in the year — security zones, a UN-only buffer — before the US-Israeli campaign against Iran in late February froze everything. Analysts, however, are skeptical that this round will fare better. Researcher Hassan Mneimneh argued that Israel tends to raise its demands precisely when the other side shows a desire to negotiate, and that Syria's willingness to engage may simply invite further pressure. For Damascus, these talks are ultimately less about achieving peace than about keeping the country intact while larger powers compete for influence on its territory.
Syria's foreign minister sat down across from Israeli intelligence officials in a Jordanian room this past Sunday, the two delegations separated by more than geography. Asaad al-Shaibani had come to talk de-escalation after weeks of Israeli strikes that had left Syrian territory scarred and the relationship between Damascus and Tel Aviv fractured nearly beyond repair. The United States had arranged the meeting, playing mediator in a conflict that had grown sharper since the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024.
The talks centered on a practical question: how do two countries that do not trust each other stop shooting? According to Syrian state media, the discussions focused on building mechanisms to halt Israeli attacks and targeting operations, and on reviving a broader security agreement that had stalled months earlier. The Israeli delegation, led by Mossad chief Roman Gofman, came with its own agenda. They wanted to prevent Turkish military expansion into Syrian territory, keep the Syrian side of the Golan Heights free of weapons, protect the Druze community, and block Syria from acquiring certain strategic arms. Critically, Israel also made clear that any withdrawal from occupied Syrian land would depend on achieving diplomatic gains first—a condition that shifted the entire negotiating calculus.
Syria's position was equally firm. Al-Shaibani stressed that Damascus remained a sovereign state with the right to rebuild its military, choose its alliances, and govern its own territory without external constraint. Syria wanted Israeli forces to pull back to positions held before al-Assad's fall. It wanted the 1974 disengagement agreement fully restored. And it wanted acknowledgment that the Golan Heights belonged to Syria, not Israel. These were not negotiating points; they were stated facts, at least from Damascus's perspective.
The backdrop to these talks was turbulent. Israel had launched hundreds of strikes on Syria since al-Assad's overthrow and had sent troops into a UN-patrolled buffer zone in the Golan Heights that had separated the two militaries for decades. Most recently, Israeli warplanes had bombed the Abu Duhur airbase in northwestern Idlib, claiming the strike was necessary to prevent Turkish forces from using the base. Syria and Turkey both denied this explanation, and the incident had triggered a sharp exchange between Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The two leaders were now trading public barbs, and Syria sat in the middle, worried that it might become the stage for a larger conflict.
In an interview before the meeting, al-Shaibani had told Reuters that Syria did not trust Israel but that diplomacy remained possible. He noted that the two sides had actually agreed on paper to nearly everything at the start of the year—security zones in southern Syria, a buffer area for UN forces only. Then, in late February, the US and Israel launched their war on Iran, and the talks froze. No one had set a date to resume them until now.
Yet analysts were skeptical. Hassan Mneimneh, a researcher at the Middle East Institute, told Al Jazeera that the current round was unlikely to produce real de-escalation. He argued that Israel's historical pattern was to escalate demands once the other side showed willingness to negotiate. Now that Syria had signaled its desire to reduce tensions, Israel would likely use that opening to extract more concessions through American intermediaries. Mneimneh also noted Syria's deeper fear: that the country would become a battlefield between Israeli and Turkish interests, with Syria's fragile new government unable to consolidate power or prevent its own disintegration. From Damascus's perspective, these talks were less about achieving peace and more about survival—keeping the country intact while two larger powers competed for influence on Syrian soil.
Citas Notables
Syria is a sovereign state with the full right to rebuild and develop its national army and determine its alliances in line with its national interests— Syrian delegation, via state media
Now that Syria has indicated its desire to have the situation de-escalate, Israel is likely to bring in more demands and have the Americans negotiate these new demands with Syria— Hassan Mneimneh, Middle East Institute analyst