Q2 earnings season opens with TCS, Tata Power, Tata Steel in focus

AI revenue becoming visible, but the real test is execution
India's largest tech companies are disclosing AI contributions for the first time, signaling a shift in how earnings will be measured.
Mark

So the earnings season is starting today. What should we actually be watching for?

Mimi

The headline is that India's largest companies are reporting September quarter results. But the real story is how they're navigating AI and what their margins look like. TCS and Infosys have already started disclosing AI revenue—that's new and material.

Luke

How material, though? TCS says $2.6 billion annualized AI revenue. What's the denominator? What's their total revenue? Without that context, $2.6 billion could be 5% or 15% of the business.

Mimi

Fair point. Infosys was more transparent—they said AI was 8.2% of total revenue in June. So we're seeing the contribution, but it's still early.

Mark

And the consumer side? Jubilant FoodWorks, PC Jeweller—how are they doing?

Mimi

Mixed. Domino's India grew 4.1% like-for-like, which is modest. But PC Jeweller just cleared ₹3,000 crore in debt and is expecting strong seasonal demand from weddings. That's a recovery story.

Luke

PC Jeweller defaulted in 2024 and did a one-time settlement with banks. Now they're debt-free. That's real, but it's also a company that nearly collapsed. The seasonal tailwinds they're counting on—weddings, festivals—those are real, but they're also cyclical. What happens when the cycle turns?

Mark

What about infrastructure?

Mimi

Tata Power is piloting floating solar with a Norwegian company. BGR Energy is restructuring debt with NARCL. These are long-term bets on clean energy and debt management.

Luke

The BGR restructuring—they're giving up 20% equity to NARCL to spread debt repayment over four years. That's dilution for existing shareholders, even if it saves the company. That trade-off should be clear.

Mark

So what's the through-line here?

Mimi

Indian corporate India is managing multiple transitions at once—AI integration, debt cleanup, infrastructure investment, consumer demand cycles. Today's earnings will show how well they're executing.

Luke

And how much of that is real improvement versus financial engineering and restructuring that just buys time.

  • India's largest software exporters are no longer speaking of AI in abstractions — TCS has reported $2.6 billion in annualized AI revenue and Infosys has pegged AI work at 8.2% of total earnings, marking a threshold moment for the sector.
  • Consumer businesses face an uneven terrain: Jubilant FoodWorks is expanding aggressively in India even as its Eurasia division contracts, while PC Jeweller has erased ₹3,000 crore in debt and is betting on a wedding-and-festival boom to sustain its 28% revenue surge.
  • Tata Steel's 15% sequential volume jump signals industrial momentum, but the company is simultaneously splitting a subsidiary into two specialized entities — restructuring for agility even as demand holds steady.
  • Capital is being redeployed across the energy and infrastructure landscape: Tata Power is piloting floating solar in Maharashtra with a Norwegian partner, while BGR Energy has struck a debt restructuring deal with NARCL to rationalize ₹3,736 crore in liabilities.
  • Ola Electric is raising ₹1,000 crore through a rights issue priced well below market, and HCLTech is opening an AI centre in South Africa — signals that Indian companies are simultaneously shoring up balance sheets and planting flags in new geographies.

As autumn settles over the subcontinent, India's corporate calendar turns a significant page: the second-quarter earnings season opens on October 8, drawing together technology giants, consumer brands, and industrial heavyweights in a collective reckoning with a rapidly shifting economy. From TCS quantifying artificial intelligence as a measurable revenue stream to jewellers clearing years of debt and power companies piloting floating solar, the results arriving this week are less a snapshot than a portrait of a nation in deliberate transition. The numbers will tell investors not merely how companies performed, but how confidently Indian enterprise is stepping into the next chapter of its growth story.

India's second-quarter earnings season opens October 8 with a dense calendar of results that will set the tone for investor sentiment through the remainder of the year. TCS, GM Breweries, Onix Solar Energy, and a range of mid-sized firms are among those reporting, while GIFT NIFTY futures suggest the broader market will begin the day marginally lower.

The technology sector enters this earnings window with something new to show: quantified AI revenue. Infosys has disclosed that AI-related work now accounts for 8.2% of total revenue, while TCS has reported annualized AI earnings of $2.6 billion. Analysts expect modest margin improvement for tier-one IT players, with mid-tier firms absorbing acquisition costs but holding their ground. These disclosures mark the first time India's software exporters have put hard numbers to a transformation that has long been discussed in qualitative terms.

Among consumer businesses, Jubilant FoodWorks added 88 stores in India to reach 2,601 locations, posting 4.1% like-for-like growth domestically even as its Eurasia division recorded a 2.1% decline. PC Jeweller's story is one of remarkable recovery: after defaulting on bank debt and settling with 14 consortium banks in 2024, the company has cleared approximately ₹3,000 crore in obligations and grown revenue 28% year-on-year. Management is looking ahead to a festive and wedding season it expects to be unusually strong, citing roughly 1.35 crore weddings anticipated in 2026.

Tata Steel delivered 5.97 million tons in the quarter — up 15% sequentially — while simultaneously restructuring Maharashtra Seamless into two focused entities, with shareholders receiving shares in both and listings on the BSE and NSE pending approval. In the energy space, Tata Power has signed a collaboration with Norway's Ocean Sun to pilot a 300 kilowatt-peak floating solar installation at its Mulshi reservoir, a project that emerged from the India-EFTA Prosperity Summit. BGR Energy, meanwhile, has agreed to restructure ₹3,736 crore in debt with NARCL, with the sustainable portion to be repaid by 2030 and the reconstruction company receiving a 20% equity stake.

Rounding out the week's corporate activity: Ola Electric's board has approved a ₹1,000 crore rights issue at ₹27 per share, structured in two calls to ease capital deployment for shareholders. BPCL has launched a joint venture to produce specialized bitumen for road and runway construction. And HCLTech has opened an AI Centre of Excellence in Sandton, South Africa. Taken together, these moves reveal an Indian corporate landscape actively managing its past — debt, legacy structures, underperforming divisions — while investing deliberately in the technologies and partnerships that will define its future.

India's second-quarter earnings season officially begins today, October 8, with some of the country's largest companies preparing to announce their September quarter results. TCS, GM Breweries, Onix Solar Energy, and a roster of mid-sized firms are slated to report numbers that will shape investor sentiment for the weeks ahead. The domestic stock market is expected to open slightly lower, with GIFT NIFTY futures pointing to a 20-point decline in the NIFTY50 index.

The earnings calendar arrives at a moment when India's technology sector is undergoing a visible shift. Analysts at UnearthInsight expect margins to improve modestly for tier-one IT services players like TCS, Infosys, and HCLTech, while mid-tier firms are likely to hold steady even as they absorb integration costs from acquisitions. What has changed materially is the visibility of artificial intelligence revenue. In the June quarter, Infosys disclosed that AI-related work accounted for 8.2% of total revenue. TCS went further, reporting annualized AI revenue of $2.6 billion. These figures represent the first time India's largest software exporters have quantified their exposure to the technology that is reshaping their industry.

Beyond technology, the earnings season will test how India's consumer-facing businesses are navigating a complex operating environment. Jubilant FoodWorks, which operates Domino's in India and several neighboring markets, reported that like-for-like growth in India stood at 4.1% during the quarter, while its Eurasia division—covering Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Georgia—recorded negative growth of 2.1%. The company added 88 new stores in India, bringing its total to 2,601, and expanded its Eurasia footprint by three stores to 798. PC Jeweller, which had defaulted on bank debt and opted for a one-time settlement in September 2024, has since cleared all outstanding dues to 14 consortium banks, erasing approximately ₹3,000 crore in total debt. The company's consolidated revenue grew 28% year-on-year in the July-September period, and it collected ₹142 crores from export debtors during the quarter. Management expects strong seasonal tailwinds in the coming quarter, pointing to approximately 1.35 crore weddings anticipated in calendar year 2026 and a favorable festive calendar that includes Dhanteras, Diwali, Durga Puja, and Chhath Puja.

Tata Steel, another heavyweight in today's earnings focus, delivered 5.97 million tons in the quarter, up 15% sequentially and 7% year-over-year, supported by a richer product mix and steady demand across segments despite seasonal rainfall. On a half-year basis, deliveries rose 8% year-over-year to 11.14 million tons. The company is simultaneously undertaking a significant restructuring, splitting Maharashtra Seamless into two focused entities. Shareholders will receive one share in each resulting company for every five Maharashtra Seamless shares held, with both entities proposed for listing on the BSE and NSE pending regulatory approval. The restructuring is designed to create more nimble, specialized businesses and improve capital allocation.

Infrastructure and renewable energy plays are also moving. Tata Power, one of India's largest integrated power companies, has partnered with Norway-based Ocean Sun to pilot floating solar technology at its Mulshi reservoir in Maharashtra. The collaboration agreement was signed during the 2nd India-EFTA Prosperity Summit and represents a deepening of India-Norway partnership in clean energy. The pilot will test a 300 kilowatt-peak floating solar installation. Separately, BGR Energy has entered into a debt restructuring agreement with the National Asset Reconstruction Company Limited (NARCL), addressing ₹3,736 crore in total debt—comprising ₹1,245 crore in sustainable debt and ₹2,491 crore in unsustainable debt. Under the agreement, the sustainable portion will be repaid over four years by September 2030, with NARCL receiving 20% equity on a fully diluted basis. The restructuring is intended to rationalize liabilities and strengthen the company's net worth for the next phase of growth.

Other corporate moves underscore the breadth of activity in this earnings window. Ola Electric's board has approved a rights issue of up to ₹1,000 crore at ₹27 per share, priced at approximately 26% below the current market price. The two-call structure allows shareholders to pay 60% on application and the balance on a final call, giving investors time to deploy capital. BPCL has launched a new joint venture, Bharat Tiki Tar Shell Pvt Ltd, to manufacture and market specialized bitumen products including polymer-modified bitumen and crumb-rubber modified bitumen for road and runway construction. HCLTech has opened an AI Centre of Excellence in Sandton, South Africa, to showcase its full-stack AI portfolio and serve enterprise clients across the region. These moves, taken together, sketch a picture of Indian corporate India in transition—managing debt, investing in new technologies, and positioning for the next cycle of growth.

The restructuring is expected to rationalize the company's liabilities through an overall debt reduction and to improve its net worth, placing the company on a stronger footing for the next phase of its growth.
— BGR Energy statement on NARCL debt restructuring agreement
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