OPPO's Patient Strategy Faces AI Era Test as Smartphone Market Consolidates

Scale must convert into premium pricing power, or it becomes an expensive burden.
OPPO faces a structural challenge: its distribution and manufacturing advantages no longer guarantee profit if it cannot command premium prices.
Mark

So OPPO is basically saying it's going to stay patient while everyone else is panicking about AI. Is that credible?

Mimi

It's more specific than that. OPPO killed a 50-billion-yuan chip program in 2023 because it realized the cost exceeded the benefit. That's not patience—that's discipline. The patience is in what comes next: building AI capabilities through software and system tuning instead of trying to own the entire stack.

Luke

But we should be clear about what we don't know. The source doesn't tell us whether that joint development with MediaTek actually gives OPPO meaningful differentiation, or whether it's just another phone with the same chip as everyone else. We know they're doing it. We don't know if it works.

Mark

Fair point. What about the AIOS strategy? That sounds like the real bet.

Mimi

It is. AIOS is about understanding users over time, managing memory, deciding what runs locally and what runs in the cloud. If OPPO can build that layer well, it becomes the entry point for AI services. ColorOS already reaches millions of phones. The question is whether they can build the organizational capability to operate as a platform company, not just a hardware company.

Luke

And here's where the unlisted status matters. They don't have to report whether AIOS is actually generating revenue or user engagement. We know they're investing in it. We don't know if it's working at scale.

Mark

So the real risk is organizational, not technological?

Mimi

Partly. OPPO has proven it can design and manufacture phones at scale. What it hasn't proven is that it can operate a platform—manage developer relationships, handle privacy and data, coordinate between on-device and cloud services. That's a different skill set.

Luke

And there's the succession question. Chen Mingyong and Duan Yongping have made these calls together for decades. When they're gone, who decides whether to keep investing in something that takes five years to pay off? The culture survives, but the judgment might not.

Mark

Is there any evidence that OPPO is preparing for that transition?

Mimi

The source doesn't mention it. That's actually telling. If they were building decision-making procedures to survive founder departure, we'd probably hear about it.

Luke

Exactly. The unlisted structure that gives them freedom also means we can't see the internal governance. We know the philosophy. We don't know if the organization can carry it forward.

  • China's smartphone market contracted 4.3% YoY in Q2 2026; OPPO declined 9.7% while Huawei grew 19.4% and Apple 24.4%
  • OPPO shut down ZEKU chip program in May 2023 after investing 50 billion yuan over three years
  • OPPO surpassed Samsung in global average selling price in 2025, ranking second worldwide with 23% YoY revenue growth
  • As of June 2026, OPPO filed over 6,150 invention patent applications in AI and achieved 200 tokens per second on-device generation speed

China's smartphone market contracted 4.3% YoY in Q2 2026, with OPPO declining 9.7% while competitors Huawei and Apple grew 19-24%, signaling market concentration. OPPO exited its ZEKU chip program in 2023 after investing 50 billion yuan, choosing instead to collaborate with Qualcomm and MediaTek while building AI capabilities through software and systems.

OPPO marks its 31st anniversary as smartphone shipments decline for five consecutive quarters, with founder Chen Mingyong reaffirming the company's long-term "Benfen" philosophy to guide strategic choices in AI and chip development.

On September 17, 2026, OPPO turned 31. Founder and CEO Chen Mingyong marked the occasion not with celebration but with distillation—reducing the company's guiding philosophy, "Benfen," to nine characters: maintain composure, understand what matters, think in decades. The timing was deliberate. China's smartphone market had contracted for five straight quarters. Huawei and Apple were growing at 19 and 24 percent respectively. OPPO had shrunk 9.7 percent. The old playbook—identify demand, design products fast, flood distribution channels—was running into a wall.

The numbers told a stark story. IDC data showed Chinese smartphone shipments fell 4.3 percent year-over-year in the second quarter of 2026. Component costs were climbing. Memory prices had spiked. And now artificial intelligence was demanding something new: every smartphone maker had to reinvest in models, operating systems, and on-device computing. The bill had arrived, and it was substantial. For a company built on replicating success—the Find, Reno, A, and K product lines stacked across price tiers, offline stores reaching into lower-tier cities, operations spanning more than 90 countries—the question was whether that machinery still worked when the market itself was shrinking.

OPPO's strength had always been operational. Few Android manufacturers possessed such a complete product lineup, supply chain scale, and global reach simultaneously. But maturity was changing the value of those assets. Longer replacement cycles meant distribution networks could improve efficiency but could not manufacture demand. Supply chains could follow trends in battery capacity and camera lenses, but so could everyone else. Hardware features were converging. Differentiation now depended on years of joint research, system tuning, and brand pricing power—the things that took time to build and could not be rushed.

The company had already made one consequential bet on speed. In 2019, Chen announced a three-year R&D budget of 50 billion yuan—roughly $7.5 billion—to build in-house chips. OPPO launched its chip project in 2020. In 2021, it released MariSilicon X, its first self-developed imaging chip. Then, in May 2023, it shut the entire operation down. Thousands of engineers were disbanded. The program, called ZEKU, had revealed something hard: the gap between an imaging chip and a flagship smartphone processor was vast. It required filling in CPU, GPU, NPU, baseband, RF, drivers, and development tools. It meant paying for advanced manufacturing nodes and iterating annually. The cost had exceeded the strategic benefit. OPPO judged it was not the path forward.

Instead, the company chose a lighter route. It would continue buying platforms from Qualcomm and MediaTek. But it would shape those platforms from within—participating in the definition of rendering engines, scheduling systems, and power management through joint development. In September 2026, OPPO announced that its Find X10 Pro Max would be among the first phones to use MediaTek's new 2nm flagship chip, the Dimensity 9600 Pro, with a jointly developed rendering and scheduling engine. This reduced capital risk while allowing OPPO to write its imaging and power consumption requirements into the platform in advance. The trade-off was clear: less control over the foundation, but lower burn rate and faster iteration.

The real test, though, was not chips. It was what OPPO called AIOS—artificial intelligence operating system. Traditional operating systems managed applications, files, and hardware. AIOS needed to understand users continuously, preserve long-term memory, invoke different services, and decide what ran on the device and what ran in the cloud. In January 2026, OPPO disclosed its overseas AIOS solution, developed with Google Cloud, centered on user memory, cross-app search, proactive recommendations, and private computing. For OPPO, the strategic value exceeded any single AI feature. ColorOS—its operating system—held the entry point. It could push model capabilities to millions of Find and Reno phones. Its global channels provided a realistic path for AI services to reach users. But OPPO also operated within constraints. Foundation models came from external partners. Cloud computing came from partners. Core chips came from partners. Cross-app services depended on whether developers would open their accounts, payments, and data. Apple controlled chips, systems, accounts, and app distribution. Huawei was building its own ecosystem. OPPO needed to approach vertical integration within a collaborative ecosystem—a harder problem, and one that required organizational capabilities OPPO had not yet fully built.

The company's unlisted status gave it room to think long-term. No quarterly earnings calls meant no pressure to show returns on R&D projects that would take years to mature. No stock price meant OPPO could tolerate the kind of directional bets that public companies could not. It could kill ZEKU without explaining the write-down to shareholders. It could maintain longer product cycles. But the structure also had limits. Without public financial reports, outsiders could not assess whether different business units were investing efficiently. OPPO's decision quality relied on internal mechanisms, founder judgment, and organizational consensus. A single directional error could consume years and substantial talent. And succession was a question mark. When Chen and Duan Yongping were no longer present, which businesses deserved long-term investment? When to exit? The culture would remain, but the judgment criteria might blur.

The decision not to build cars illustrated how this logic operated. In 2020, Chen had a phone call with Duan Yongping about whether OPPO should enter automotive. Duan asked three questions: What is the essence of a car? What differentiated value can OPPO bring? Would building cars serve the company's long-term health? Chen thought for over a month and concluded the answer was no. He abandoned the idea decisively. Thirty-one years had proven OPPO's survival and adaptation. It had transitioned from feature phones to smartphones, from China's offline market to global markets. It had accumulated assets in imaging, fast charging, foldables, and system experience. By 2025, OPPO had surpassed Samsung in global average selling price, ranking second worldwide. Revenue grew 23 percent year-over-year. As of June 2026, OPPO had filed over 6,150 invention patent applications in AI. It achieved on-device AI token generation speeds of 200 tokens per second and supported 128K ultra-long context. Its flash charging patents were licensed to more than 60 companies. Over 25 million vehicles globally used its flash charging technology. In December 2025, OPPO signed cellular communication standard patent license agreements with Volkswagen and Audi. It did not build cars, but its technology had found its way into them. In 2026, the OPPO Find X9 Ultra won the European Imaging and Sound Association's Smartphone Camera of the Year award—the only smartphone product in that category and the only Chinese brand to win.

But patience had reached a moment of reckoning. Scale had to convert into premium pricing power. Supplier collaboration had to convert into foundational capabilities. ColorOS had to shoulder the role of user entry point in the AI era. OPPO had time and organizational stability, but the industry would not slow its pace. The question was whether 31 years of accumulation could determine its position in the next round of competition.

Entering new businesses requires maintaining a calm mindset and rationally exploring the essence of the business, rather than chasing trends on hearsay.
— Chen Mingyong, OPPO founder and CEO, recounting the decision not to enter automotive
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