India-US trade deal lifts markets; experts pick 8 stocks to buy as FIIs return

After a multi-day rally, consolidation is inevitable
Analysts warn that profit-taking may interrupt the market's advance even as sentiment remains constructive.
Mark

So the trade deal with the US is the main thing moving markets right now?

Mimi

It's the primary driver, yes. The announcement triggered strong buying on Tuesday, and that momentum carried into Wednesday. You saw it across the board—rupee strengthening, foreign investors returning, commodities rallying.

Luke

But how much of that is actually about the deal itself versus just the relief of uncertainty? We don't know the terms yet.

Mimi

Fair point. The reporting says "positive progress in India-US trade discussions," not a completed deal. It's the visibility on external risks that's shifted.

Mark

And the FII buying—₹5,236 crore in one day. Is that a lot?

Mimi

It's meaningful. It signals confidence returning. But it's also one day of data. We'd need to see if it sustains.

Luke

Right. And the experts recommending eight stocks—are these based on the trade deal specifically, or just technical patterns?

Mimi

Mostly technical. The analysts are reading chart patterns, moving averages, RSI indicators. The trade deal is the backdrop, the sentiment driver. The stock picks are tactical.

Mark

So if the trade deal stalls, do all eight of these recommendations fall apart?

Luke

Probably some would. But the analysts aren't saying "buy because of the trade deal." They're saying the charts look bullish. That's a different claim.

Mimi

The real risk is what Chouhan flagged—after a multi-day rally, consolidation is normal. You could see profit-taking even if sentiment stays positive.

Mark

How do traders navigate that?

Mimi

Buy on dips, sell on rallies. Test the support levels. If Nifty holds above 25,350, the uptrend survives. If it breaks, you're in trouble.

  • A freshly announced India-US trade deal injected rare clarity into markets rattled by months of geopolitical and economic turbulence, triggering two consecutive days of broad-based buying.
  • Foreign institutional investors poured ₹5,236 crore into Indian equities in a single session, while the rupee surged 1.40% to 90.25 against the dollar — the kind of capital movement that signals genuine conviction, not mere speculation.
  • Gold and silver extended sharp multi-day rallies, with COMEX gold touching $5,075 per ounce and silver climbing to $87.345, as investors hedged optimism with the safety of hard assets.
  • Analysts are now threading a careful needle — recommending that traders buy dips and sell strength, with Nifty 50 support mapped at 25,500 and the critical line in the sand drawn at 25,350.
  • Eight stocks spanning automobiles, banking, pharma, and logistics were flagged for intraday opportunity, each showing technical breakouts or momentum reversals that align with the broader constructive tone.
  • The market stands at a familiar crossroads: the rally has been swift, profit-booking pressure is building, and the next session will reveal whether the trade deal's promise can translate into durable upward movement.

In the wake of renewed trade dialogue between India and the United States, Indian equity markets continued their ascent on Wednesday — a moment that speaks to the enduring human search for stability and connection through commerce. Foreign capital returned to Indian shores in meaningful volume, the rupee strengthened, and precious metals climbed, each signal reflecting a collective exhale after a period of global uncertainty. Yet markets, like all living things, must pause to breathe, and the question now is whether optimism can sustain its own momentum or whether wisdom will counsel a moment of rest.

The Indian stock market carried its winning streak into Wednesday, lifted by the announcement of progress in India-US trade negotiations. The news had already sparked strong buying the previous day, and early signals suggested foreign investors were returning with genuine conviction — visible not just in equity flows but across currencies and commodities alike.

Foreign institutional investors bought Indian shares worth ₹5,236 crore on Tuesday, the day the deal was announced, with domestic investors contributing another ₹1,014 crore. The rupee appreciated roughly 1.40%, settling near 90.25 against the dollar. Currency analyst Jateen Trivedi of LKP Securities identified immediate resistance near 89.90 and support at 90.50, suggesting further appreciation was possible if global risk sentiment held steady.

Commodity markets echoed the optimism. Gold on COMEX reached an intraday high of $5,075 per ounce, a gain of 2.75%, while silver surged 4.50% to $87.345 per ounce — extending a rebound that had already begun the day before. Analyst Rahul Kalantri of Mehta Equities outlined key technical levels for both metals, with silver's resistance at $88.15 and $94.80 suggesting room for further upside if momentum held.

For equities, the mood was constructive but cautious. After several days of strong gains, consolidation was widely expected. Shrikant Chouhan of Kotak Securities advised buying weakness and selling strength, placing Nifty 50 support at 25,500 and 25,350, with resistance at 25,900 to 26,000. The Bank Nifty presented a more nuanced picture — a bearish candlestick formation offset by a trendline breakout and a bullish RSI crossover, leaving the index's next move dependent on follow-through buying.

Three analysts identified eight stocks for intraday traders: Ashok Leyland and State Bank of India, both near all-time highs with rising volume; Paytm, showing consistent bullish momentum; Hindustan Petroleum and UPL, displaying renewed strength from support; Maruti Suzuki, consolidating near its 200-period moving average with RSI signaling a reversal from oversold levels; Zydus Life, reviving above its 100-period moving average on strong volume; and CONCOR, breaking out of a falling channel with improving momentum indicators.

The market's next chapter hinges on a simple but consequential question: can trade deal optimism generate the follow-through buying needed to push indices to new highs, or will the pace of the recent rally demand a pause? The technical landscape offers opportunity — but also counsels patience.

The Indian stock market extended its winning streak on Wednesday, buoyed by progress in trade negotiations between India and the United States. The announcement had already triggered strong buying the day before, and early signs suggested foreign investors were returning to Indian equities with renewed confidence. The shift in sentiment was visible across multiple asset classes: the rupee strengthened sharply, gold and silver surged, and a fresh wave of inflows began to materialize.

Foreign institutional investors purchased Indian shares worth ₹5,236 crore on Tuesday, the day the trade deal was announced, while domestic investors added another ₹1,014 crore. The rupee appreciated by ₹1.28, or roughly 1.40%, moving to around 90.25 against the dollar as traders repositioned for stronger trade flows and capital inflows. Jateen Trivedi, a currency analyst at LKP Securities, noted that the rupee's immediate resistance lay near 89.90, with support holding at 90.50. As long as the currency remained above that support level and global risk sentiment stayed stable, further appreciation seemed likely.

Commodity markets reflected the broader optimism. Gold on the COMEX exchange opened higher and reached an intraday peak of $5,075 per ounce, a gain of about 2.75% from the previous close. Silver climbed even more sharply, touching $87.345 per ounce and logging a 4.50% advance. Both metals had already rebounded strongly on Tuesday, and Wednesday's session extended those gains. Rahul Kalantri, a commodities analyst at Mehta Equities, mapped out the technical landscape: gold had support at $4,655 and $4,575 per ounce, with resistance at $4,860 and $4,950, while silver found support at $74.80 and $69.75, with resistance at $88.15 and $94.80.

The equity market itself faced a delicate moment. After several days of strong gains, profit-taking and consolidation were inevitable, yet the underlying backdrop remained constructive. Easing global uncertainties, sustained domestic capital spending, and a stable macroeconomic environment all supported a positive near-term outlook. The key question for traders was whether fresh buying would push indices higher or whether the market would pause to digest its gains at elevated levels.

Shrikant Chouhan, head of equity research at Kotak Securities, advised a tactical approach: buy weakness and sell strength. He placed Nifty 50 support at 25,500 and 25,350, with resistance at 25,900 and 26,000. Below 25,350, the uptrend would become vulnerable. For the Bank Nifty index, the picture was mixed. Vatsal Bhuva, a technical analyst at LKP Securities, observed that the index had closed with a bearish candlestick but had managed to break above a falling trendline. The RSI showed a bullish crossover, suggesting improving momentum, yet Tuesday's move had been driven largely by news and event-based triggers. The follow-up session would be crucial to validate whether the breakout could sustain. Support lay at 59,800, with resistance near 61,700.

Three stock market experts identified eight names for intraday traders to consider. Ashok Leyland, trading at ₹200, had recently broken out of a consolidation phase and reached an all-time high of ₹203, accompanied by rising volume. State Bank of India, at ₹1,064, had similarly marked an all-time high of ₹1,089.80 and was forming higher highs and higher lows. Paytm, at ₹1,190, showed consistent bullish momentum with a support base at ₹1,145. Hindustan Petroleum, at ₹450, had reversed from support and displayed renewed strength. UPL, at ₹740, exhibited a strong bullish pattern. Maruti Suzuki, at ₹14,782, had corrected from ₹17,370 and was consolidating near its 200-period moving average, with the RSI indicating a positive reversal from oversold levels. Zydus Life, at ₹902, had found support near ₹865 and was reviving past its 100-period moving average at ₹892 with strong volume. CONCOR, at ₹528, had broken out of a falling channel at ₹520 with rising volume and an RSI moving out of oversold territory.

The market's next move would depend on whether the trade deal optimism could sustain follow-through buying or whether the indices would consolidate at higher levels. The technical setup suggested opportunity, but the recent rally's pace meant caution was warranted.

The Indian Rupee traded sharply stronger, appreciating by ₹1.28 or nearly 1.40% following the US–India trade deal announcement.
— Jateen Trivedi, VP Research — Commodity & Currency at LKP Securities
We are of the view that the short-term market outlook remains positive, but a strategy of buying on dips and selling on rallies would be ideal for traders.
— Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research at Kotak Securities
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