Apple's iPhone 18 Pro may use 'aggressive pricing' to grab market share amid chip costs

Use market chaos to their advantage—secure the chips, grab share
Apple's strategy to absorb rising memory costs while competitors raise prices, betting on long-term market dominance.
Mark

Why would Apple deliberately take a hit on profit margins right now? That seems counterintuitive for a company obsessed with shareholder returns.

Mimi

Because they're thinking in decades, not quarters. If they can lock in market share while competitors are forced to raise prices, they own the premium segment for the next cycle. Services revenue—subscriptions, cloud, software—has much higher margins anyway.

Mark

But memory chips are expensive right now because of AI data centers. Won't that cost eventually come down?

Mimi

Probably, yes. But by then Apple will have already captured customers who might have switched to Samsung or Google. Once you own the ecosystem, you own the customer.

Mark

So this is really about using a crisis as a competitive weapon.

Mimi

Exactly. Most companies see a supply shock and raise prices to protect margins. Apple sees it as an opportunity to gain ground. It's the difference between playing defense and playing offense.

Mark

What about India? The article mentions Apple might raise prices there anyway.

Mimi

That's the pragmatic part. They can afford to absorb costs in wealthy markets where price sensitivity is lower. In India, where margins are already tighter and price matters more, they adjust. It's not one strategy—it's calibrated by market.

  • A global AI-driven chip shortage is forcing every major smartphone maker to raise prices — Apple alone appears willing to hold the line, turning an industry crisis into a competitive opening.
  • The iPhone 18 Pro is expected to start at $1,099 and the Pro Max at $1,199, prices that would represent stability or modest reductions at a moment when rivals are moving in the opposite direction.
  • Apple's own C2 modem replaces Qualcomm components, a shrinking Dynamic Island cuts the screen intrusion by 35 percent, and a new 2nm A20 Pro chip promises meaningful gains in speed and efficiency — the hardware case for staying in the ecosystem grows stronger.
  • The strategy hinges on a bet articulated by analyst Ming-Chi Kuo: absorb costs now, capture market share, then recoup through high-margin services revenue over time.
  • India remains a fault line — Apple's history of dual pricing means Indian consumers may pay a premium even as US prices hold, a tension that could complicate the company's narrative of global accessibility.

As artificial intelligence reshapes the economics of global chip supply, Apple is preparing a quiet act of strategic patience — holding or reducing prices on its iPhone 18 Pro lineup this September while competitors retreat upmarket. The decision to absorb rising memory costs rather than pass them to consumers reflects a long-held belief that market disruption is best navigated not by following the crowd, but by moving against it. In the calculus of a company that earns its deepest margins not from hardware but from the services layered atop it, a short-term sacrifice in profit can be the price of a longer-term throne.

Apple is preparing a calculated gamble for this fall. When the iPhone 18 Pro lineup arrives in September, the company plans to absorb rising memory chip costs rather than pass them to customers — a stance that sets it apart from Samsung, Google, and virtually every other major manufacturer that has raised prices over the past four months.

The pressure originates in an unlikely place: artificial intelligence. Data centers training large language models have created extraordinary demand for the same memory chips that power smartphones, triggering a shortage that has forced manufacturers to choose between margins and market share. Most have chosen margins. Apple, according to analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, is choosing the other path — absorb the costs now, lock in chip supply, capture customers competitors are pricing out, and recover through services revenue later, where margins run far higher than on hardware.

The phones themselves carry real upgrades. The 18 Pro and Pro Max keep their 6.3-inch and 6.9-inch OLED displays, but the Dynamic Island shrinks by roughly 35 percent. The new 2nm A20 Pro chip delivers around 15 percent faster CPU performance and 30 percent better power efficiency. Qualcomm's modem disappears entirely, replaced by Apple's own C2 — a deepening of vertical integration that reduces the company's exposure to external suppliers. New color options include Dark Cherry, Light Blue, Mist Blue, and Dark Grey.

One complication persists: India. Apple has a documented history of holding global prices while quietly adjusting for specific markets, as it did with the iPhone 17e. Indian consumers should expect to pay more than their American counterparts even if the US base price holds at $1,099.

The real verdict arrives in September. Apple is wagering that consumers notice — and reward — a company that holds steady while everyone else raises prices. Whether that bet pays off will depend on whether market share gains at tighter margins can be converted, over time, into the kind of services dominance that makes the short-term sacrifice worthwhile.

Apple is preparing to make a calculated gamble this fall. When the company unveils its iPhone 18 Pro lineup in September, it plans to absorb the rising costs of memory chips rather than pass them along to customers—a move that would set it apart from nearly every other major smartphone maker scrambling to raise prices in the face of a global chip shortage.

The strategy, confirmed by analyst leaks in recent weeks, represents a deliberate choice to sacrifice short-term profit margins for longer-term market dominance. While Samsung, Google, and other Android manufacturers have all raised prices on their flagship and mid-range devices over the past four months, Apple appears willing to hold the line. The base iPhone 18 Pro is expected to start at $1,099, with the Pro Max beginning at $1,199—prices that would represent either stability or modest reductions depending on how the company structures its tiers.

The pressure on pricing comes from an unexpected source: artificial intelligence. Data centers training large language models have created unprecedented demand for memory chips, the same components essential to smartphones. That shortage has forced manufacturers worldwide to choose between absorbing costs or raising prices. Most have chosen the latter. Apple's willingness to do the former speaks to a deliberate strategy articulated by analyst Ming-Chi Kuo: use market chaos as an opportunity. Absorb the costs now, secure the chip supply, grab market share, and recoup losses later through services revenue—subscriptions, cloud storage, software—where margins are far higher.

The new phones themselves will carry meaningful upgrades beneath a familiar exterior. The iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max will retain their 6.3-inch and 6.9-inch OLED screens, but the Dynamic Island—that notch-like cutout at the top—will shrink by roughly 35 percent. The processor, a new 2nm A20 Pro chip, will deliver about 15 percent faster CPU performance and 30 percent better power efficiency. The phones will also ditch Qualcomm's modem in favor of Apple's own C2 modem, a move that deepens the company's vertical integration and reduces dependence on external suppliers. Color options will include Dark Cherry, Light Blue, Mist Blue, and Dark Grey.

One complication looms: India. Apple has a history of maintaining global pricing while raising prices in specific markets. The iPhone 17e, released last year, demonstrated this approach. Indian customers should expect to pay more than their American counterparts, even if the base US price holds steady. This dual-pricing strategy allows Apple to maintain its premium positioning in developed markets while adjusting for local economics and import duties elsewhere.

The real test comes in September. If the leaks prove accurate, Apple will be betting that customers value stability and that market share gains—even at reduced margins—position the company to dominate the premium smartphone segment for years to come. Competitors have already signaled they cannot or will not follow this path. Whether Apple's gamble pays off depends on whether consumers reward the company for holding prices steady while everyone else raises them.

Apple's playbook is clear: use the market chaos to their advantage—secure the chips, absorb the costs, and grab more market share. They'll make it back later on the services side.
— Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo
Quer a matéria completa? Leia o original em Livemint ↗
Fale Conosco FAQ