AI transforms U.S. Open experience with real-time analytics for players and fans

Anything can happen out there on the court. That's the fun about it.
IBM's technical director on why AI insights enhance rather than diminish tennis's unpredictability.
Mark

So IBM is basically turning the U.S. Open into a data stream. How much of what fans see is actually useful versus just noise?

Mimi

The serve quality metric is genuinely interesting—it's measuring biomechanics that a casual viewer can't see. But the win probability feature is the one that's been around longer, and it's designed to spark conversation, not predict the future.

Luke

Right, but let's be careful here. The win probability is built on "trusted media sources and recent performances." That's vague. What sources? How recent? And when Sonego went from 7% to 93% likely to win, was the algorithm actually tracking something real, or was it just reacting to the score?

Mimi

That's fair. The algorithm is reactive to what's happening on court. It's not predicting; it's updating based on the match state.

Mark

And players like Pegula are actually using this to prepare. Does that give them an unfair advantage?

Mimi

Only if their opponents don't have access to the same data. The app is public—14 million users. So everyone has the same information.

Luke

Except not everyone has the same time or resources to analyze it. A top-ranked player with a coaching staff can dig deeper than a casual fan. But that's not really IBM's responsibility.

Mark

What about the billion data points by the end of the tournament? That's a huge number. What happens to all that data?

Mimi

The source doesn't say. That's worth asking.

Luke

Exactly. It's collected, processed, and then what? Is it archived? Sold? Used to train the next version of the system? The article doesn't tell us.

Mark

So we know the technology works, but we don't know what the long-term implications are.

Mimi

Not yet. This is year two of real-time win probability and the first year of serve quality. We're still in the early stages of seeing what this becomes.

  • Over a billion data points will be generated by tournament's end, as cameras at Arthur Ashe Stadium track every elbow angle, wrist velocity, and ball trajectory in real time.
  • The live win-probability feature turned the Zverev-Sonego match into a statistical drama — Zverev's 87% opening odds collapsed to 7% before he clawed back, exposing how quickly algorithmic certainty can shatter.
  • Players like Jessica Pegula are integrating AI scouting into pre-match preparation, studying opponent serve patterns — yet openly acknowledge that mid-match instinct still overrides any data model.
  • IBM's Watsonx platform and the U.S. Open app's Match Chat feature are blurring the line between spectating and participating, turning 14 million fans into active analysts of the sport they love.
  • The central tension is not technological but philosophical: the system is designed to deepen unpredictability, not eliminate it — a careful balance that each viewer, and each player, must negotiate for themselves.

At the U.S. Open in Flushing Meadows, IBM's artificial intelligence has quietly woven itself into the fabric of one of sport's oldest rituals — the act of watching and competing. Across millions of phones and in the preparation rooms of professional players, data now flows alongside instinct, offering not certainty but a new kind of conversation between human performance and machine perception. The question this tournament quietly poses is one that will outlast any match result: when a system can measure a knee bend and predict a winner, what remains irreducibly human about the game?

When Coco Gauff took the court against Zeynep Sönmez on a Tuesday night in late August, millions of fans watching through the U.S. Open app were seeing something genuinely new: live artificial intelligence running alongside the match, tracking win probability, flagging pivotal moments, and scoring the biomechanical precision of every serve. Behind this experience sits IBM's Watsonx platform, fed by cameras positioned around Arthur Ashe Stadium that record elbow flexion, knee bend, and wrist velocity with each swing. The result is a "serve quality" score out of 100, delivered to fans after each match — and by tournament's end, over a billion data points will have been generated.

IBM's technical program director Tyler Sidell is careful about what the technology is meant to do. The goal, he says, is not to predict outcomes but to deepen engagement — to give the app's roughly 14 million users richer ways to understand what they're watching without robbing the sport of its essential unpredictability. The live win-probability feature, now in its second year of real-time display, illustrated this vividly during the Zverev-Sonego match: Alexander Zverev opened at 87% likely to win, watched those odds collapse to 7% as Lorenzo Sonego surged, then mounted a comeback that flipped the numbers again. The algorithm became a mirror for the match's drama rather than a spoiler of it.

Beyond the stands, players themselves are engaging with the data. Jessica Pegula, who advanced to the fourth round, uses AI analytics to study opponents' serve tendencies before stepping on court. She describes tennis as "a lot of problem solving" and values the sense of preparation the data provides — while remaining clear-eyed that strategies shift mid-match and instinct often matters more than any pre-loaded pattern. The app also includes Match Chat, an AI assistant that fields questions about players, venues, and even where to find the tournament's signature cocktail. Taken together, these features represent something larger than a technical upgrade: the digital layer has become inseparable from the tournament itself, and what it means to watch — or play — tennis is quietly being renegotiated.

The U.S. Open has become a laboratory for artificial intelligence, and the experiment is unfolding in real time across millions of phones. When Coco Gauff played Zeynep Sönmez on a Tuesday night in late August, fans watching through the official app saw something that would have seemed impossible a decade ago: live AI analysis flowing in alongside the match itself, tracking win probability, flagging pivotal moments, and measuring the biomechanical precision of every serve.

The infrastructure behind this is substantial. Cameras positioned around Arthur Ashe Stadium capture the ball, the racket, and the players' bodies in motion—recording data points like elbow flexion, knee bend, and wrist velocity. IBM's Watsonx platform processes this stream of information to generate a "serve quality" score out of 100, a metric that appears in the app after each match. When Gauff won, the analysis noted her "controlled racket preparation and deep knee bend during her setup." By the tournament's end, IBM's technical program director Tyler Sidell said, the system will have generated over a billion data points.

The intent, Sidell explained, is not to replace the unpredictability that makes tennis compelling but to deepen it. "There's so much unpredictability in sports," he said. "We want to provide an insight, but still, let's watch the matches play out." The app reaches roughly 14 million users, and the analytics are designed as conversation starters—ways for fans to engage more deeply with what they're watching without being told what will happen.

But the technology has moved beyond spectating. Players are using it too. Jessica Pegula, who advanced to the fourth round, relies on AI analysis to identify patterns in opponents' serves before stepping on court. "Tennis is a lot of problem solving," she told CBS News. "Serve is a really big one. It's the one controllable shot we have in tennis." Pegula is clear-eyed about the limits: strategy shifts mid-match, players deviate from their tendencies, and instinct sometimes matters more than data. Still, she said, the preparation feels valuable. "It just gives you that feeling of being prepared before you go into a match."

The "likelihood to win" feature has been part of the U.S. Open app for about six years, but this is only the second year fans can watch it fluctuate in real time as a match unfolds. The odds are built from trusted media sources and recent performance records, aggregated to generate a player's chances. When Gauff faced Sönmez, she opened as a 72% favorite—a number that climbed as she took control of the first set. The app's "key moments" feature provided brief analysis as the match progressed: "Gauff has three opportunities to win the match, with Sonmez needing a heroic response," it noted during the second set.

The most dramatic swing came later that evening when Alexander Zverev, the men's No. 1 seed from Germany, played Lorenzo Sonego of Italy in a match that stretched into the early morning hours. Zverev began with an 87% win probability. But as the fourth set wore on, the algorithm shifted sharply: Sonego climbed to 93% likely to win. Then Zverev mounted a comeback, and the odds flipped again. The match became a live demonstration of how quickly certainty can dissolve on a tennis court.

The app also includes Match Chat, an AI assistant that answers questions about players, matches, and the venue itself. Ask it where to find a Honey Deuce—the U.S. Open's signature cocktail—and it returns bar locations and asks which gate you're nearest to. These small conveniences are part of a larger shift: the digital layer has become inseparable from the tournament experience. Fans are no longer just watching tennis. They're watching tennis while consulting a system that watches it too, offering data, context, and prediction in real time. Whether that deepens the experience or simply adds noise remains something each viewer will decide for themselves.

There's so much unpredictability in sports. We want to provide an insight, but still, let's watch the matches play out.
— Tyler Sidell, IBM's technical program director for sports and entertainment partnerships
Tennis is a lot of problem solving on the court. Serve is a really big one. It's the one controllable shot we have in tennis.
— Jessica Pegula, U.S. Open player
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