We will not move to any of the twenty clauses until the last hostage has crossed Israeli territory
Em meio às ruínas de um conflito que já dura mais de um ano, Donald Trump declarou na segunda-feira que as negociações de paz em Gaza avançam bem, com o Hamas aceitando pontos centrais de um plano de vinte itens apresentado no fim de setembro. As conversas acontecem no Cairo, conduzidas por enviados americanos, e giram em torno de um cessar-fogo, libertação de reféns e a reconstrução de Gaza sob uma autoridade interina independente. Mas entre a confiança expressa pelo presidente e a geometria real das posições negociadoras, persiste uma tensão antiga: a paz declarada e a paz conquistada raramente chegam ao mesmo tempo.
- Trump afirmou publicamente estar 'quase certo' de que um acordo será alcançado, elevando as expectativas num momento em que apenas dois dos vinte pontos do plano foram aceitos pelo Hamas.
- Netanyahu traçou uma linha dura: nenhum outro ponto do plano será discutido enquanto o último refém não pisar em solo israelense — criando um impasse de sequência que pode travar todo o processo.
- Das 48 pessoas ainda em poder do Hamas, apenas cerca de 20 são acreditadas como vivas, tornando cada hora de negociação uma corrida contra o tempo com peso humano concreto.
- A Casa Branca aposta que a libertação progressiva de reféns gerará impulso político suficiente para avançar nas questões mais difíceis — governança, desmilitarização e reconstrução de Gaza.
- O fosso entre o otimismo de Trump e a realidade negociadora é real: o Hamas fez concessões simbólicas importantes, mas as dezoito cláusulas restantes tocam nos nós mais sensíveis do conflito.
Na segunda-feira, Donald Trump entrou na sala de imprensa da Casa Branca e declarou que as negociações sobre Gaza estavam indo na direção certa. O presidente disse que o Hamas havia aceitado elementos que ele chamou de "muito importantes" de sua proposta de paz, e expressou quase certeza de que um acordo seria alcançado em breve.
As conversas acontecem no Cairo, onde negociadores trabalham com base em um plano de vinte pontos apresentado por Trump em 29 de setembro. O framework prevê cessar-fogo, libertação de reféns, reconstrução de Gaza e a criação de uma autoridade interina independente que substituiria os grupos armados no território. A equipe americana é representada pelo enviado especial Steve Witkoff e por Jared Kushner.
A secretária de imprensa Karoline Leavitt disse que Trump acompanha o processo de perto e quer ver os cativos libertados o mais rápido possível, apostando que cada libertação gerará impulso para avançar nas questões mais complexas. Na sexta-feira, o Hamas sinalizou disposição para libertar todos os reféns israelenses — vivos ou mortos — e transferir o controle de Gaza a uma autoridade independente. Ainda assim, o grupo aceitou formalmente apenas dois dos vinte pontos.
O primeiro-ministro israelense Benjamin Netanyahu estabeleceu uma condição inegociável: nenhuma outra cláusula do plano será discutida enquanto o último refém não tiver cruzado o território israelense. Segundo fontes israelenses, 48 pessoas permanecem em poder do Hamas, com cerca de 20 acreditadas como ainda vivas.
A tensão estrutural é clara: os reféns são a principal alavanca para mover o Hamas nas dezoito cláusulas restantes, mas Netanyahu se recusa a discuti-las antes que todos sejam libertados. O otimismo de Trump contrasta com essa geometria difícil, e os próximos dias dirão se o impulso das libertações consegue, de fato, abrir caminho para as perguntas mais duras sobre o futuro de Gaza.
Donald Trump walked into the White House press room on Monday and declared the Gaza negotiations moving in the right direction. The president said Hamas was accepting what he called "very important" elements of his peace proposal, and he expressed near-certainty that a deal would come together. "I think we're doing very well," Trump said. "I think Hamas has agreed to things that are very important. I'm almost certain we're going to reach an agreement on Gaza."
The talks are happening in Cairo, where negotiators are working through a twenty-point plan Trump unveiled on September 29th. The framework calls for a ceasefire, the release of hostages, and the reconstruction of Gaza under a structure that would strip the territory of armed groups and place it under an independent interim authority. Trump's team is represented in the negotiations by special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, the president's son-in-law.
The White House is banking on momentum from hostage releases to push the broader peace process forward. Karoline Leavitt, the press secretary, said Trump is watching the process closely and wants to see captives freed as quickly as possible. "We want to act with speed, and the president wants to see the hostages released as soon as possible," she said. "The goal is to build momentum, free the hostages, and then secure a lasting and sustainable peace in Gaza."
The twenty-point plan includes several core elements: amnesty for Hamas members who lay down weapons, exchanges of hostages and prisoners under international supervision, a gradual withdrawal of Israeli troops, and security guarantees alongside civilian reconstruction. On Friday, Hamas signaled willingness to release all Israeli hostages—living or deceased—as Netanyahu had demanded, and agreed to hand over Gaza's governance to an independent authority. But the group has only accepted two of the twenty points so far.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has drawn a hard line. On Sunday, he said no other elements of the plan would be discussed until every hostage had crossed back into Israeli territory. "We will not move to any of the twenty clauses until the last hostage has crossed Israeli territory," he stated. According to Israeli sources, forty-eight people remain in Hamas custody, with roughly twenty believed to still be alive.
The gap between what Trump is describing as progress and what the actual negotiating positions reveal is significant. Hamas has agreed to release hostages and transfer control of Gaza—two major concessions—but has accepted only a fraction of the full proposal. Netanyahu's insistence that hostage releases must precede all other discussions creates a sequencing problem: the hostages are the leverage that might move Hamas on the remaining eighteen points, but Netanyahu won't discuss those points until the hostages are free. Trump's confidence that an agreement is imminent sits uneasily against this structural tension, and the next phase will test whether the momentum from hostage releases can actually translate into agreement on the harder questions of Gaza's future governance and security.
Citas Notables
I think we're doing very well. I think Hamas has agreed to things that are very important. I'm almost certain we're going to reach an agreement on Gaza.— Donald Trump
We will not move to any of the twenty clauses until the last hostage has crossed Israeli territory.— Benjamin Netanyahu
La Conversación del Hearth Otra perspectiva de la historia
Trump says they're doing very well. What does that actually mean when you look at the numbers?
He's right that Hamas made two big moves—agreeing to release hostages and to hand over Gaza to an independent authority. But they've only accepted two of twenty points. That's not most of the plan.
So why is Trump so confident?
Because those two points are the hardest ones. If Hamas will release hostages and give up control, the thinking goes, the rest should follow. But Netanyahu won't discuss the rest until the hostages are actually free.
That sounds like a chicken-and-egg problem.
Exactly. Netanyahu is saying no negotiations on the other eighteen points until every hostage is home. But those hostages are Hamas's only real leverage to extract concessions on those points.
How many people are we talking about?
Forty-eight hostages still in Hamas hands. About twenty of them are believed to be alive.
And Trump thinks this gets resolved soon?
He's betting that the momentum from releasing hostages will carry over into the harder negotiations. But momentum and leverage are different things. Once the hostages are free, what does Hamas have left to negotiate with?
So the real test comes after the hostages are released.
That's when we'll know if Trump's optimism was warranted or if the plan falls apart over the details.