Petrol drops below 150p for first time since Ukraine war as inflation eases

The first time since the war began, petrol cost less than 150p
On January 9, pump prices hit 149.74p per litre, down from a record 191.53p in July 2022.

For the first time since war reshaped the energy landscape of Europe, British drivers found themselves paying less than 150 pence per litre at the pump — a quiet but meaningful marker of relief after nearly a year of financial strain. The fall in fuel costs, from a record 191.53p in July 2022 to 149.74p in early January, carried with it a broader signal: inflation, that relentless measure of collective pressure, eased to 10.5% in December. In Cornwall and across the country, the pump price became a small but legible sign that the worst of the fuel-driven cost of living crisis may, for now, be receding — though the forces that ignited it remain very much alive.

  • Petrol prices surged to a record 191.53p per litre in July 2022 as Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent oil markets into convulsion, with a single June day seeing the largest one-day price jump in 17 years.
  • Families rationed journeys, small businesses watched margins collapse, and delivery drivers found the economics of their work no longer added up — fuel had become the sharp edge of the cost of living crisis.
  • By January 9th, pumps across Britain registered 149.74p per litre, the first dip below 150p since before the war, with Cornwall stations in Bodmin and St Austell offering fuel below 147p.
  • The Office for National Statistics confirmed inflation fell from 10.7% to 10.5% in December, with economists pointing directly to retreating fuel prices as the primary driver of that decline.
  • Relief remains fragile — oil markets are still hostage to geopolitical instability, and any fresh disruption to global supply could reverse the gains that drivers are only beginning to feel.

For the first time since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, petrol prices dipped below 150 pence per litre in early January, with pumps across Britain registering 149.74p on the 9th. Diesel had fallen too, averaging 172.21p — levels not seen since before the war began.

The road to that moment had been punishing. As pandemic lockdowns ended in 2021, demand returned and prices climbed. Then came February 2022 and the invasion, which sent oil markets into shock. By July, petrol had hit a record 191.53p per litre and diesel peaked at 199.07p. The cost of living crisis had a fuel-shaped core, felt in rationed shopping trips, vanishing business margins, and delivery drivers doing sums that no longer worked.

The shift showed up in the official numbers. The Office for National Statistics reported inflation fell to 10.5% in December, down from 10.7% in November — a second consecutive monthly decline, driven largely by retreating fuel costs dragging the broader index downward.

Across Cornwall, the relief was visible. Asda in Falmouth offered petrol at 149.7p; stations in Bodmin and St Austell dipped below 147p. Variation between forecourts still existed, but it was measured in single pence rather than the wild swings of summer.

The caveat, though, was real. Fuel prices remain bound to global forces — an unresolved war, volatile energy markets, and supply chains that can shift without warning. The worst of the squeeze appeared to have passed, but the conditions that caused it had not.

For the first time since Russia invaded Ukraine, petrol prices dipped below 150 pence per litre in early January. On Monday the 9th, pumps across Britain registered 149.74p—a watershed moment that marked the beginning of relief after months of punishing fuel costs. Diesel, too, had fallen to an average of 172.21p per litre. The last time either fuel cost this little was before the war began.

The journey to this point had been brutal. When the pandemic lockdowns ended in 2021, fuel prices began climbing as demand returned. Then came February 2022 and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Oil markets convulsed. On a single day in June—the 7th—petrol prices jumped more than they had in any 24-hour period in 17 years. By July, petrol had hit a record 191.53p per litre, and diesel peaked at 199.07p. Families rationing trips to the shops, small businesses watching their margins evaporate, delivery drivers doing the math and finding it no longer worked. The cost of living crisis had a fuel-shaped core.

But something shifted. The Office for National Statistics reported that inflation—the broad measure of how fast prices are rising across the economy—fell to 10.5 per cent in December, down from 10.7 per cent in November. It was the second consecutive month of decline. Economists traced the improvement directly to fuel. As petrol and diesel retreated from their summer peaks, they dragged the inflation number down with them.

Across Cornwall, the relief was visible at the pump. In Falmouth, Asda was selling petrol at 149.7p, the cheapest in that area. Bodmin and St Austell both had stations offering fuel below 147p. Even in pricier pockets—Esso at Chiverton Cross near Redruth was asking 176.9p for diesel—the gap between cheapest and most expensive had narrowed compared to the summer chaos. A driver in Penzance could fill up at Tesco for 149.9p, while the Sainsburys across town charged 150p. The variation existed, but it was measured in single pence, not tens.

Yet the relief came with a caveat. Fuel prices remain tethered to global forces beyond any government's control. Russia remains a major oil producer, and the war shows no sign of ending. Energy markets are volatile. A fresh geopolitical shock, a disruption to supply lines, a shift in global demand—any of these could send prices climbing again. For now, though, drivers filling their tanks were paying less than they had in nearly a year. Inflation was easing. The worst of the squeeze, at least for fuel, appeared to have passed.

Inflation fell to 10.5 per cent in December from 10.7 per cent in November, with fuel price declines identified as the primary driver
— Office for National Statistics
La Conversación del Hearth Otra perspectiva de la historia
Inventor

Why does it matter that petrol dropped below 150p? It's just a number.

Model

Because for months it had been nearly 200p. People had reorganized their lives around fuel costs—skipping trips, combining errands, choosing not to drive. When it falls this far this fast, it signals that one of the biggest pressures on household budgets is finally loosening.

Inventor

But inflation is still 10.5 per cent. That's still very high.

Model

It is. But it was 10.7 per cent the month before. The direction matters as much as the number. Fuel was the engine pulling inflation down—literally the thing that made the overall rate improve. Without that drop, inflation would have stayed flat or climbed.

Inventor

Is this permanent? Can people count on fuel staying cheap?

Model

No. Fuel prices are hostage to global oil markets, geopolitics, supply disruptions. The war in Ukraine is still happening. One shock—a refinery accident, a new sanctions regime, a supply cut—and prices could spike again. This is relief, not recovery.

Inventor

So what should people do?

Model

Probably what they've already learned to do: not take cheap fuel for granted. Use it wisely. Watch the news about energy markets the way they watch weather forecasts. The reprieve is real, but it's fragile.

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