Oxfam warns DRC Ebola outbreak likely far worse than reported

782 confirmed cases and 181 deaths reported across 25 health zones; families unknowingly expose household members to virus through home care; Uganda reports 19 confirmed cases including 2 deaths.
Water is simply not available. For most families here, that is far beyond what they can afford.
A field coordinator describes the paradox at the heart of the outbreak: the most basic defense against Ebola is out of reach.

In the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, the largest recorded outbreak of Bundibugyo Ebola is unfolding not merely as a medical emergency but as a crisis of collapsed infrastructure and abandoned trust. With clean water absent from four in five health facilities, contact tracing covering fewer than half of known exposures, and global humanitarian funding cut nearly in half, the tools that once contained Ebola have been quietly dismantled before the virus arrived. What is being counted — 782 cases, 181 deaths, a spread now reaching Uganda — is almost certainly less than what is true, because the systems designed to see the full picture can no longer see at all.

  • The largest Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak ever recorded is almost certainly larger than official figures show, because the surveillance and tracing systems meant to detect it have been gutted by funding cuts.
  • In Mongbwalo, a city of 140,000 people at the outbreak's epicenter, four in five residents cannot access clean water — the single most essential barrier against Ebola transmission — and many are forced to drink from mining-contaminated sources.
  • Contact tracing coverage has collapsed from 79% to 43% in a matter of weeks, meaning infected people are moving through communities undetected, and in North Kivu, deaths are being confirmed as Ebola only after the fact.
  • Families, distrustful of health facilities and cut off from community outreach workers, are caring for sick relatives at home — unknowingly exposing themselves to a strain of Ebola for which no licensed vaccine or approved treatment exists.
  • Oxfam has mobilized an $11.6 million emergency response to reach 200,000 people, but the organization itself acknowledges this is far short of what the scale of the crisis demands, as the outbreak has already crossed into Uganda.

A month into the largest Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak on record, the Democratic Republic of the Congo is confronting the virus with a response system that has been quietly dismantled. The official toll — 782 confirmed cases and 181 deaths across 25 health zones — is almost certainly an undercount. Aid workers say the real numbers are higher, and the reason is straightforward: the infrastructure designed to find, trace, and contain the disease is failing.

In Mongbwalo, a town of nearly 140,000 in Ituri province, only one in five residents can access clean water. The rest drink from sources contaminated by mining runoff, or pay prices most families cannot afford. Across Ituri's health facilities, the same ratio holds — only 20% have adequate water on hand. Without it, the most basic defense against Ebola transmission does not exist. Oxfam's field coordinator in Ituri describes the paradox plainly: water is the foundation of any outbreak response, yet it remains out of reach for the people who need it most.

The funding crisis has made everything worse. Global humanitarian support for the DRC has been cut nearly in half — from $2.58 billion in 2024 to $1.4 billion in 2026, the lowest in a decade. Local organizations, which form the backbone of community response, have received less than 6% of that. The outreach workers who build trust, counter rumors, and persuade families to seek care have largely disappeared. In their absence, health facilities are seen as places people go to die. Families turn to home care instead, unknowingly exposing household members to a virus with no licensed vaccine and no approved treatment.

Contact tracing — the systematic work of finding everyone exposed to a confirmed case — has fallen to 43% coverage. One month into the 2018 outbreak in the same region, it was reaching nearly 80% of known contacts. The gap is not statistical abstraction: in North Kivu, deaths are now being identified as Ebola only after the fact. A mother of five in Ituri brought her feverish daughter in for testing after two houses in her community were quarantined. One family lost several relatives after caring for a sick member at home, then passed the virus to others. This is how the outbreak moves now — through households, through care, through the absence of the tools that once slowed it.

Oxfam has launched an $11.6 million six-month intervention to bring clean water and hygiene support to 200,000 people in Ituri, but acknowledges it falls far short of what is needed. The outbreak has already reached Uganda, with 19 confirmed cases and 2 deaths. Without a rapid restoration of funding, contact tracing, and community trust, the true scale of this crisis may not be known until it is far too late to change its course.

A month into what the CDC has confirmed as the largest Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak on record, the Democratic Republic of the Congo is fighting the virus with one hand tied behind its back. The official count stands at 782 confirmed cases and 181 deaths across 25 health zones, but aid workers on the ground say the real toll is almost certainly higher. The reason is brutally simple: the systems meant to catch and contain the disease are collapsing under the weight of underfunding, and the most basic tool for stopping Ebola—clean water—is almost nowhere to be found.

In Mongbwalo, a town of nearly 140,000 people in Ituri province and one of the outbreak's epicenters, only one in five residents have access to clean water. The rest drink from sources poisoned by chemical runoff from mining operations, or they pay two dollars for twenty liters—a sum most families cannot afford. Across the province's health facilities, the picture is even grimmer: only one in five has enough clean water on hand. Without it, the first and most reliable defense against Ebola transmission simply does not exist. Manel Rebordosa, Oxfam's field coordinator in Ituri, describes the paradox from the ground: water is the absolute foundation of any disease response, yet it remains inaccessible to the people who need it most.

The funding crisis has gutted the response infrastructure. Global humanitarian funding for the DRC has been slashed by nearly half—from $2.58 billion in 2024 to $1.4 billion in 2026—the lowest level in a decade. Local organizations, which are typically the backbone of outbreak response, have received less than 6 percent of that money. The result is that community outreach teams, the trusted voices that convince people to seek treatment and follow safety protocols, have been drastically reduced. Without them, rumors spread faster than the virus itself. People now view health facilities as death traps. Families turn to traditional remedies instead of seeking care, which delays treatment and allows the virus to move silently through households.

Contact tracing—the systematic work of finding everyone who has been exposed to a confirmed case—has collapsed to 43 percent coverage. One month into the 2018 outbreak in the same region, contact tracing was reaching nearly eight in ten known contacts. The difference is not merely statistical. When contact tracing fails, infected people move through communities undetected. In North Kivu, deaths are being reported before patients are ever identified as Ebola cases. Families caring for sick relatives at home have no idea they are exposing themselves and their neighbors to a virus with no vaccine and no approved treatment.

The health system itself is threadbare. The DRC has only 0.2 doctors per thousand people, and more than seventy health facilities have been destroyed by conflict. Frontline workers lack basic protective equipment. Healthcare centers cannot safely dispose of infectious waste. The Bundibugyo strain, unlike the virus that caused the 2018-2020 outbreak, has no licensed vaccine or approved therapeutic drug. This means that clean water, sanitation, and the ability to quickly identify and isolate cases are not just helpful—they are the only tools available.

Tibakanya Mireille, a mother of five in Ituri, brought her feverish daughter to the hospital for testing. Two houses in her community of Shari have been quarantined. One family lost several relatives after caring for a sick household member, which then infected others. This is how the virus moves now—through the intimate spaces of home, through the hands of people trying to help their own families, through the absence of the water and knowledge needed to stop it.

Oxfam has launched a $11.6 million six-month intervention to provide clean water and hygiene kits to 200,000 people in Ituri and to support community awareness efforts. But the organization is explicit: this falls far short of what is needed. The outbreak has already spread to Uganda, which has recorded 19 confirmed cases and 2 deaths. Without a rapid reversal in funding and a restoration of the contact tracing and community response systems that worked in 2018, the true scale of this outbreak will likely remain hidden until it is far too late.

Water—the absolute first line of defense in any public health emergency—is simply not available. Miners working in the surrounding areas have no toilets and handwashing stations, then they return home to communities already battling the virus.
— Manel Rebordosa, Oxfam Field Response Coordinator in Ituri Province
When trusted community outreach teams disappear, rumors spread faster than the virus. People now fear healthcare facilities, which they see as deathtraps. Families are turning to traditional remedies, which risks delaying treatment and allowing the virus to spread further.
— Manel Rebordosa, Oxfam Field Response Coordinator
A Conversa do Hearth Outra perspectiva sobre a história
Inventor

Why does clean water matter so much with Ebola specifically? Isn't the virus spread through blood and bodily fluids?

Model

Yes, but clean water is how you interrupt that chain. When someone is sick, they need to wash their hands, their clothes, their surroundings. Healthcare workers need to wash between patients. Families need water to clean up after caring for someone at home. Without it, the virus lives on surfaces and spreads through touch. It's the foundation.

Inventor

The contact tracing number—43 percent versus 79 percent—that's a huge drop. What does that actually mean on the ground?

Model

It means that for every ten people exposed to someone with Ebola, only four are being found and monitored. The other six are out there, potentially infected, potentially infecting others, and nobody knows. In 2018, eight out of ten were caught. That gap is where the virus hides.

Inventor

You mentioned people turning to traditional remedies instead of hospitals. Is that a trust issue, or fear?

Model

Both. When community health workers disappear because there's no funding, people lose their trusted source of information. Rumors fill that void. People hear stories about hospitals being death traps. And honestly, with overwhelmed facilities and limited protective equipment, some of those fears aren't unfounded. So families try to treat at home, which is exactly where the virus spreads fastest.

Inventor

The funding cut from 2.58 billion to 1.4 billion—that's a policy choice somewhere, right?

Model

Yes. It reflects global priorities shifting away from the DRC. But the timing is catastrophic. You're cutting funding right when you need it most, right when a new outbreak emerges with no vaccine and no drug. It's like removing the fire department the day before a fire starts.

Inventor

What happens if this outbreak isn't contained in the next few months?

Model

It spreads across borders—Uganda already has cases. It becomes endemic in communities. The virus becomes harder to track, harder to stop. And the people who suffer most are the ones who already have the least: families in mining towns drinking poisoned water, with no money for clean water, no access to hospitals, no one coming to warn them.

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