At the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of the world's energy supply passes through a narrow corridor of water and competing wills, Iran has begun allowing select vessels to transit again — not as a surrender of leverage, but as a demonstration of it. French, Japanese, and Omani ships have crossed since Thursday, each passage a carefully calibrated signal that commerce may resume for nations Iran considers neither adversary nor accomplice. The selective reopening, emerging from weeks of near-total closure following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes, suggests that even in conflict, states seek the gra
Al-Monitor
· Apr 03, 2026
· security
· 2 min de leitura
High
Apuração: Verificado
Iran Allows Select Foreign Vessels Through Strait of Hormuz Amid Conflict
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Energy
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Viés e Enquadramento
⚖
Article presents Iran's selective vessel transit policy with factual reporting, though framing emphasizes Iran's agency in 'allowing' passage while downplaying geopolitical tensions and market concerns.
Bias Direction
center-left
Confidence
MED
Iran-centric perspective that frames the Strait closure as Iran's deliberate policy choice rather than emphasizing the conflict's destabilizing effects. Emphasis on diplomatic solutions (Macron quote) and Oman's mediation role suggests preference for negotiation over confrontation.
widening conflict
blockade
complete paralysis
deems friendly
signalling its nationality
U.S. or Israeli government statements on the closure and its implications
Perspective from shipping industry on economic impact and security concerns
Analysis of Iran's strategic motivations beyond the stated 'friendly vessel' policy
Views from other Gulf states affected by the closure
Commercial shipping companies' concerns about safety and predictability
Impacto Geopolítico
🌎
Iran selectively permits transit through Strait of Hormuz for non-U.S./Israeli vessels, signaling willingness to negotiate while maintaining pressure on Western adversaries amid ongoing regional conflict.
Escalation Risk
moderate
Confidence
HIGH
Iran
United States
Israel
France
Japan
Oman
Gulf States
Global energy markets
Iran demonstrates leverage through selective blockade enforcement, rewarding neutral/friendly nations (France, Japan, Oman) while punishing U.S.-Israeli alignment. Oman's mediation role strengthens its regional influence. France positions itself as diplomatic alternative to U.S. military approach, potentially fracturing Western unity. Japan balances energy security needs with geopolitical tensions.
Similar to 1980s Tanker War when Iran selectively targeted shipping to coerce negotiations and divide international coalitions, using maritime chokepoints as political leverage.
Lente Econômica
📈
Iran's selective reopening of Strait of Hormuz to non-U.S./Israeli vessels signals potential de-escalation, reducing critical energy chokepoint risk but maintaining geopolitical uncertainty affecting global oil/LNG markets.
Market Signal
mixed
Confidence
MED
Energy (Oil & LNG)
Shipping & Maritime Transport
International Trade
Commodities Markets
Defense & Geopolitics
Consumers face continued energy price volatility; selective passage reduces immediate supply crisis risk but unpredictability maintains inflation pressure on fuel and goods prices. Shipping delays increase consumer costs for imported goods.
Potential for diplomatic negotiations (Oman mediation model) to replace military escalation; U.S./Western powers may pursue sanctions or naval presence adjustments; EU nations may pursue independent diplomatic channels; energy security policies may shift toward diversification away from Hormuz dependency.