The market was waiting to see whether the Iran news would move from rumor to reality.
En la mañana del jueves, la bolsa española abrió con una calma tensa, como quien aguarda noticias que aún no han terminado de llegar. El Ibex 35 avanzó apenas unas décimas mientras los mercados europeos procesaban la posibilidad de un acuerdo nuclear entre Washington y Teherán —un acontecimiento que, de confirmarse, reescribiría el mapa energético global y con él los cálculos de millones de inversores. El petróleo, ese barómetro antiguo de la geopolítica, oscilaba cerca de los cien dólares por barril, recordando que entre la diplomacia y los mercados siempre ha existido un diálogo silencioso pero poderoso.
- Las declaraciones de Trump sobre un acuerdo nuclear inminente con Irán introdujeron una incertidumbre inmediata en los mercados energéticos: si la tensión cede, el petróleo baja, y con él los beneficios del sector.
- El Ibex 35 apenas se movió al abrir, una quietud que no refleja calma sino expectativa contenida ante noticias que aún no han cristalizado en hechos.
- Las principales bolsas europeas —Frankfurt, Londres, París— abrieron prácticamente planas, señal de que el continente entero está en modo de espera antes de comprometerse con una dirección.
- En el plano corporativo, las noticias fueron dispares: Reig Jofre acusó una caída del 17% en beneficios, mientras Sabadell e IAG lideraban las subidas y el Tesoro español se preparaba para captar hasta 6.750 millones en deuda.
- El mercado cerró su apertura con los ojos puestos en Washington: la diferencia entre rumor y realidad diplomática podía mover los números antes del cierre de la jornada.
La bolsa española arrancó el jueves con una subida simbólica, apenas el 0,17%, hasta los 18.134,7 puntos. No fue un movimiento de convicción sino de pausa: los inversores absorbían las palabras del presidente Trump, quien el miércoles había anunciado que Irán había acordado abandonar el desarrollo de armas nucleares y que un pacto entre ambos países era inminente. La Casa Blanca añadió que tomaría posesión del uranio enriquecido iraní. En los mercados, esa clase de noticias no genera euforia sino cálculo: un acuerdo real aliviaría tensiones, hundiría el precio del crudo y redistribuiría ganancias y pérdidas en toda la cadena energética.
El petróleo Brent cotizaba en torno a los 100,90 dólares por barril, ligeramente a la baja. El WTI americano se situaba en 94,70 dólares. Europa acompañó la jornada con la misma contención: Fráncfort y Londres abrieron planos, Milán subió un 0,2% y París un 0,1%. El euro se apreció frente al dólar hasta 1,1752, y el bono español a diez años mantuvo su rendimiento en el 3,396%.
En el terreno empresarial, la jornada trajo noticias de distinto signo. Reig Jofre comunicó un beneficio de 3,1 millones de euros en el primer trimestre, un 17% menos que el año anterior, con ingresos que también retrocedieron hasta los 86,3 millones. Unicaja preparaba una emisión de 500 millones en participaciones preferentes convertibles para inversores profesionales. Dia anunció la recompra de hasta 50.000 acciones propias por tres millones de euros. Acerinox aprobó un dividendo adicional de 0,31 euros por acción, pagadero en julio. Y Amper firmó un acuerdo vinculante para adquirir Teltronic a través del fondo Nazca Capital, en una operación valorada en hasta 225 millones de euros.
Entre los valores individuales, Sabadell lideró las ganancias con un alza del 0,93%, seguido de IAG y Amadeus. En el lado contrario, Rovi cedió un 2,5% y Merlin un 1,5%. El Tesoro español, mientras tanto, preparaba una subasta de deuda con la que esperaba captar entre 5.250 y 6.750 millones de euros. La sesión había comenzado, los datos estaban sobre la mesa, y el mercado aguardaba que la diplomacia terminara de hablar.
Spain's stock market opened Thursday morning with a modest lift, gaining just under a fifth of a percent as traders absorbed news from Washington about potential nuclear negotiations with Iran. The Ibex 35 index climbed to 18,134.7 points, a movement so small it barely registered as movement at all—the kind of opening that suggests investors are waiting to see what happens next rather than committing to any particular direction.
The day's tone was set by oil. Brent crude, the benchmark that matters most in Europe, was trading around $100.90 per barrel, down slightly from the previous close. West Texas Intermediate, the American standard, sat at $94.70. The reason for the attention: President Trump had announced Wednesday that Iranian authorities had agreed to abandon nuclear weapons development, and that a deal between the two countries was imminent. The White House also signaled it would take possession of Iran's enriched uranium. These statements created the kind of uncertainty that moves markets—if tensions ease, oil prices typically fall, which is good for economies but bad for energy companies and investors holding energy stocks.
Across the broader European landscape, the mood was cautiously optimistic but hardly enthusiastic. Frankfurt and London opened essentially flat. Milan edged up 0.2 percent. Paris managed 0.1 percent. The euro strengthened against the dollar, trading at 1.1752. Spanish government bond yields—the interest rate the country has to pay to borrow—held steady at 3.396 percent for ten-year debt.
On the corporate side, several Spanish companies were making moves. Dia announced it would begin buying back its own shares, up to 50,000 of them, representing roughly 0.086 percent of the company's total capital, with a budget of three million euros. Reig Jofre, a pharmaceutical firm, reported first-quarter earnings of 3.1 million euros—down 17 percent from the same quarter last year—with revenues sliding 2 percent to 86.3 million euros. Unicaja, a bank, was preparing to issue 500 million euros in contingent convertible preferred shares, a type of hybrid security aimed at professional investors. Acerinox's shareholders approved an additional dividend of 0.31 euros per share, payable July 17. And Amper announced it had signed a binding agreement to acquire the Spanish telecommunications company Teltronic through the Nazca Capital fund, a deal potentially worth 225 million euros.
Among the day's individual movers, Sabadell led the gainers with a 0.93 percent rise. IAG climbed 0.91 percent. Amadeus added 0.8 percent. On the downside, Rovi fell 2.5 percent and Merlin dropped 1.5 percent. Meanwhile, Spain's Treasury was preparing to return to the debt markets with an auction of bonds and government obligations, hoping to raise between 5.25 billion and 6.75 billion euros. The opening bell had rung, the numbers were posted, and the market was waiting to see whether the Iran news would move from rumor to reality.
Citações Notáveis
Iranian authorities have agreed to abandon nuclear weapons development and a deal between the two countries is imminent— President Trump, via White House announcement
A Conversa do Hearth Outra perspectiva sobre a história
Why does a nuclear deal between the US and Iran move Spanish stock prices at all?
Because oil is the connective tissue. If tensions ease, oil prices fall. That helps manufacturers and consumers, but it hurts energy companies. Spain's economy is sensitive to both sides of that equation.
So Trump's announcement was good news or bad news?
It depends who you own. For most of the market, lower oil prices are a tailwind. But the announcement itself was vague—he said a deal was imminent, but imminent can mean tomorrow or next month. That uncertainty is why the market barely moved.
The Ibex only gained 0.17 percent. That's almost nothing.
Exactly. It's the market saying: we're listening, but we're not convinced yet. Show us the signed agreement, then we'll move.
What about the corporate news—Dia buying back shares, Reig Jofre's earnings down. Does that matter more than geopolitics?
It matters to different investors. A pension fund holding Reig Jofre cares about that 17 percent earnings decline. But the broader market is watching oil and geopolitics. The corporate news is noise by comparison.
The euro got stronger. Why?
A weaker dollar usually follows when US political risk rises. If Trump's negotiating with Iran, some investors see that as unpredictable. They move money into euros as a hedge.
So what happens next?
We wait for the actual deal. If it materializes, oil falls further and the market reprices. If it collapses, oil spikes and we see a different kind of opening tomorrow.