Paz ended up rejected by left and right, trapped in the center
Paz's fuel subsidy cuts and austerity measures triggered protests from unions, farmers, and teachers demanding 20% wage increases and opposing state enterprise closures. A defective gasoline crisis in April damaged thousands of vehicles and forced the hydrocarburol minister's resignation, exposing internal instability at state oil company YPFB.
- Paz took office in November 2025 after nearly 20 years of MAS-led governments
- Eliminated fuel subsidies in place for over two decades; demanded 20% wage increases rejected
- Defective gasoline crisis in April damaged over 10,000 vehicles; hydrocarbon minister resigned
- Protests and blockades costing $50-60 million daily; concentrated in La Paz, Oruro, Cochabamba
- Governed without solid parliamentary majority, relying on decrees without sufficient political backing
Six months into his presidency, Rodrigo Paz confronts widespread strikes, roadblocks, and resignation calls amid economic crisis and social discontent over austerity measures, leaving him isolated across the political spectrum.
Six months into his presidency, Rodrigo Paz is running out of room to move. Protests have spread across Bolivia's key cities—La Paz, Oruro, Cochabamba—and the demands have hardened from negotiation to resignation. Unions, farmers, teachers, and transport workers are blocking roads, striking in public offices, and openly calling for the president to step down. The economic crisis he inherited from two decades of leftist rule has not improved. Instead, his attempts to fix it have fractured his political base entirely.
Paz took office in November 2025promising to solve Bolivia's acute problems: a shortage of dollars, fuel shortages, and inflation that had crippled the economy under Evo Morales and Luis Arce. His prescription was direct and painful. He eliminated fuel subsidies that had been in place for more than twenty years. He cut public spending. He sought external financing to restore liquidity. These were the moves a technocrat makes when the cupboard is bare. They were also the moves that would turn nearly everyone against him.
The Central Bolivian Workers Union, the COB, rejected the closures of money-losing state enterprises, framing them as hidden privatization. Teachers in Santa Cruz chained themselves to government offices demanding salary increases and a voice in new education policy. Coca farmers from the Cochabamba region, historically aligned with Morales, threatened to join the blockades. The COB and allied sectors demanded a twenty percent wage increase. Paz refused, citing fiscal impact. The gap between what people needed and what the government could afford had become unbridgeable.
Then came the fuel crisis, which exposed something worse than economic mismanagement: possible corruption and sabotage within the state oil company YPFB. In February, the government admitted it had distributed gasoline of poor quality. The official explanation blamed contaminated residue in storage tanks inherited from previous administrations. But by April, when the hydrocarbon minister Mauricio Medinaceli resigned, the narrative had shifted. The government alleged deliberate adulteration of fuel, mixing with water and oil, and what it called sabotage designed to destabilize the new administration. No definitive investigation concluded who was responsible. What was clear was the damage: more than ten thousand vehicles suffered engine failure, injector deterioration, fuel pump problems. Transport workers lost their livelihoods. The National Chamber of Industries calculated that protests and blockades were costing the economy fifty to sixty million dollars per day.
Political analyst Rafael Archondo saw a president trapped in the center, rejected by both left and right. The government had tried to contain the unrest and failed. Paz had chosen to govern without building a solid parliamentary majority, despite opportunities for coalition-building. This forced him to rule by decree, without sufficient political backing for serious reform. The economic crisis inherited from the MAS governments had not ended. The fuel subsidy removal was practically the only major measure taken. Meanwhile, conservatives thought the reforms too timid, too much continuity with the old model. The left rejected the austerity entirely. Archondo described a country split into two types of opposition: a radicalized version in the highlands and western regions, where blockades concentrated, and a more moderate eastern opposition demanding deeper economic change and clearer direction.
Another analyst, Ricardo Calla Ortega, offered a more complex picture. The protests were not simply Morales orchestrating a comeback. Morales retained mobilization capacity among rural unions and coca farmers in Cochabamba, La Paz, and Oruro, where he still held influence through rural union networks. But behind the visible protests operated other interests: drug trafficking organizations, illegal mining operations, smuggling networks. These sectors felt threatened by Paz's actions against criminal networks and drug cartels. They were financing blockades and mobilizations in the Chapare region, northern La Paz, and areas near El Alto. Calla cautioned against overstating Morales's role. The former president was one actor among many, part of a wider landscape of crossed interests seeking to destabilize the government. For now, the conflict remained geographically limited, not yet strong enough to trigger a larger political crisis or immediately threaten Paz's hold on power. But the pressure was mounting, and the president had few allies left.
Citações Notáveis
The crisis that faces the government of Paz worsened rapidly just six months after his arrival in power— Political analyst Rafael Archondo
The economic crisis inherited has not ceased. The removal of fuel subsidies was practically the only important measure adopted so far— Rafael Archondo
A Conversa do Hearth Outra perspectiva sobre a história
Why did Paz move so quickly on the fuel subsidies? Wouldn't a slower approach have given him time to build support?
He inherited an economy in free fall. No dollars, no fuel, inflation eating away at everything. A slower approach might have looked like weakness or indecision. But speed without political cover turned out to be its own kind of disaster.
The gasoline scandal seems almost too convenient for his opponents. Do analysts actually believe there was sabotage, or is that the government grasping?
The truth is still unclear. There's contamination from old tanks, that much is documented. But whether someone deliberately made it worse, whether it was corruption or sabotage—no investigation has closed that question. What matters is that thousands of people had their vehicles destroyed and no one was held accountable.
Calla mentions drug trafficking organizations financing the blockades. That's a serious claim. How confident is he in that?
He's careful about it. He's saying these networks exist and have motive—Paz is moving against them—so it's plausible they're involved. But he's also saying this doesn't mean Morales isn't real, or that the unions aren't genuinely angry. It's not either-or.
So Paz is actually trying to do something about corruption and crime, and that's part of what's destabilizing him?
Partly. He's also cutting the things that kept people alive—fuel subsidies, public spending. When you do both at once, without a political base to absorb the shock, you end up isolated. The right thinks he's not going far enough. The left thinks he's destroying them. And the criminal economy sees him as a threat.
What's his actual path forward?
Archondo says he has to choose: stay in the center and hope the crisis passes, or break decisively with the old model and accept that half the country will hate him anyway. Either way, he's out of time.